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Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start
kalshi
polymarket

Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start

Volume:
$97,833

Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR)

 - Polymarket

Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Will Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 15km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Johannes Dale-Skjevdal (NOR)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,974
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Quentin Fillon Maillet

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,452
0%
0%
$4,452
N/A
kalshi

Johannes Dale-Skjevdal

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,435
0%
0%
$3,435
N/A
kalshi

Sturla Holm Lægreid

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,751
0%
0%
$1,751
N/A
polymarket

Eric Perrot (FRA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,980
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Emilien Jacquelin (FRA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,389
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Quentin Fillon Maillet (FRA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,259
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Martin Ponsiluoma (SWE)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,296
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sturla Holm Laegreid (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,697
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Lukas Hofer (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,545
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Simon Eder (AUT)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,345
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Florent Claude (BEL)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,059
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Eric Perrot

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,057
0%
0%
$2,049
N/A
polymarket

Maxime Germain (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,055
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Jesper Nelin (SWE)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,983
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Vetle Sjastad Christiansen (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,976
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Campbell Wright (USA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,929
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Tommaso Giacomel

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,902
0%
0%
$1,659
N/A
polymarket

Johan-Olav Botn (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,892
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Tommaso Giacomel (ITA)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,698
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Michal Krcmar (CZE)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,683
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Sebastien Stalder (SUI)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,568
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Martin Uldal (NOR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,555
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Dmitro Pidruchnyi (UKR)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,540
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Vitezslav Hornig (CZE)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,535
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 25 of 81

Description

This event group covers prediction markets on the 2026 Winter Olympics Men's 15km Biathlon Mass Start event. Kalshi markets resolve YES if any of 32 named athletes wins a medal (gold, silver, or bronze), while Polymarket markets each resolve YES only if a specific named athlete wins the gold medal exclusively.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets cover any medal (gold, silver, bronze) for 32 named athletes, while Polymarket markets cover only gold medals for a partially overlapping set of athletes plus placeholders and a catch-all option. The medal scope difference means the same athlete finishing second or third resolves YES on Kalshi but NO on Polymarket.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate event spaces. Kalshi bets are hedged across all three medal positions; Polymarket bets are concentrated on gold only. If you hold both, calculate breakeven assuming the athlete finishes in each medal position independently. Watch for Polymarket placeholder resolution — if an unlisted athlete wins gold, placeholders may resolve YES while named athletes resolve NO.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 32 binary markets, each resolving YES if the named athlete wins any medal (gold, silver, or bronze) at the 2026 Winter Olympics Men's 15km Biathlon Mass Start. No explicit tie-breaking, disqualification, or cancellation rules provided. Resolution source: implicit (event outcome).
  • Polymarket: 50 markets covering gold medal only: 32 named athletes, 15 placeholders, and 1 catch-all (someone else). Each resolves YES only if that specific athlete wins gold. Disqualifications post-ceremony are ignored. Multiple gold awardees broken alphabetically. Event postponed after 31 Mar 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or no gold declared within timeframe resolves to Other. Resolution source: official IOC (olympics.com).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.