TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 25, 4:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Quentin Halys in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Quentin Halys in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Quentin Halys. This market will resolve to 'Quentin Halys' if Quentin Halys advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view shaped by trader sentiment and real-time data. While sportsbooks may rely on a single line set by oddsmakers, prediction markets aggregate decentralized opinions, which can lead to tighter spreads or sharper movements ahead of key events. Traders watch both sources for discrepancies that might signal shifts in public perception or new information impacting the match.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through a decentralized mechanism where traders submit bids and asks that directly set the odds. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders, adjusting dynamically with each new trade. This structure allows rapid price discovery, especially as pre-match analyses, player updates, or betting trends emerge, making the market a live barometer of collective trader expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will update the market accordingly. Traders should monitor reputable sports news sources for confirmed results, as any delay or dispute in official reporting may temporarily affect the settlement timing.
In the run-up to resolution, this market can shift based on several key signals: player injuries or withdrawals, changes in tournament conditions, recent form or performance metrics, and pre-match betting trends. Media coverage highlighting one player’s advantage or psychological factors can also sway trader sentiment. As the match nears, any last-minute updates — even weather conditions or court surface changes — may cause rapid movements in odds.