TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the margin of victory in an upcoming NHL game between Winnipeg and Colorado. It focuses on whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the potential dominance of one team over the other in the contest.
The event centers on determining whether the Winnipeg vs Colorado NHL game scheduled for September 25, 2026, results in a decisive victory for either team by a specified goal margin. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Colorado winning by more than 2.5 goals, Colorado winning by more than 1.5 goals, Winnipeg winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Winnipeg winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from traditional sportsbooks as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set the line, the prediction market can dynamically adjust based on collective belief.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Winnipeg vs Colorado spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the aggregate expectations of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades depend on correctly anticipating the final spread. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to discover the true probability of the event happening, as perceived by the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between the Winnipeg and Colorado scores at the conclusion of the game. The market will settle to 100 if Winnipeg covers the spread, or to 0 if Colorado covers. All trading will cease once the official result is available and verified, and payouts will be calculated based on the final price of the contracts at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 26, 2026. News regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, shifts in public perception of team strengths, and even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived probability of Winnipeg covering the spread has the potential to move this market.