TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$159,681,979
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,782,432,967
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,765,039,592
503,073
Markets across
37,360
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,848
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential point differential in an upcoming CFL football game between the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and the Edmonton Elks. Each market corresponds to different thresholds by which either team could win, offering varied levels of certainty and risk for participants.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs Edmonton Elks CFL football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold that determines a 'Yes' outcome: if the Blue Bombers win by exceeding specific margins (20.5, 13.5, 7.5, 6.5, or 3.5 points), or if the Elks win by exceeding specific margins (3.5, 6.5, 7.5, 13.5, or 20.5 points), the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, meaning each threshold operates separately, allowing participants to assess varying levels of confidence in the game's outcome. All markets are unaffiliated with the CFL or its governing bodies, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the game. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and each has its own strengths and weaknesses in forecasting the final result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the game's spread. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more the crowd believes the Blue Bombers will cover the spread, while a price closer to 0 suggests they are unlikely to do so. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Winnipeg Blue Bombers versus Edmonton Elks game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the CFL, and will reflect whether the Blue Bombers covered the spread as defined by the market’s parameters. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final outcome of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game is played. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes to the weather forecast. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price movements, especially if they indicate a strong conviction from informed traders regarding the likely game outcome.