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Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini
predict
polymarket

Who will win Kostyuk vs Paolini at Wimbledon?

Volume:
$5,247,234

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 14, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,189,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini

View
N/A
N/A
—
$6,729
$11,136
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$273
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,962
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Intro

This event group tracks the outcome of a Wimbledon WTA tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Jasmine Paolini scheduled for July 7, 2026. Aggregated data from Polymarket and Predict shows a leading consensus of 100.0% for the match occurring as scheduled. Resolution will be determined by Official WTA Tour and Grand Slam statistics, or credible reporting consensus if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for any scheduling changes or weather delays that could affect the July 7 match start time at 6:00 AM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Predict employ identical resolution frameworks for match winner, set outcomes, game totals, and completion status, with aligned edge-case handling and 7-day delay thresholds.Primary resolution logic: Official WTA Tour and Grand Slam statistics; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match Winner: Resolves to the player who advances (wins in normal play, retirement, default, or disqualification of opponent). Walkover before match start resolves 50-50.
  • Cancellation/Delay: If match is canceled, not played at all, or delayed beyond 7 days from scheduled date (July 7, 2026) without a winner determined, resolves 50-50.
  • Incomplete Match: If match begins but is not completed and no player advances due to opponent action, resolves 50-50.
  • Set-Specific Markets: Resolve based on completed set outcome if set is finished. If set is not completed for any reason (including match ending before that set), resolves 50-50.
  • Game Total Markets: Count all games across specified sets; tiebreaks (including super tiebreaks) count as 1 game each. If match does not reach the specified set or set is incomplete, resolves 50-50.
  • Completion Status: Resolves Yes only if all games and sets required to determine a winner under governing rules are played to completion through normal play. Any forfeit, retirement, walkover, or incomplete match resolves No.
  • Total Sets Market: Resolves Over if 3 or more sets are completed; super tiebreak counts as 1 set. If match incomplete, resolves 50-50.
  • Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) resolves to Kostyuk if she wins by 2+ more sets than Paolini; otherwise resolves to Paolini. If match incomplete, resolves 50-50.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Walkover: If one player withdraws before the match begins and the other advances automatically, the match resolves 50-50 for winner markets and No for completion markets.
  • Retirement/Default Mid-Match: If the match begins but one player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the advancing player wins the match. Set-specific markets resolve based on completed sets only; incomplete sets resolve 50-50.
  • 7-Day Delay Threshold: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from July 7, 2026 without a result or without play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Tiebreak Counting: All tiebreaks, including super tiebreaks and Champions tiebreaks, count as exactly 1 game toward game total markets.
  • Incomplete Set Before Match End: If the match ends before a particular set is reached (e.g., match ends 2-0 in sets), any market on that unplayed set resolves 50-50.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official WTA Tour publication of final match statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used. The 7-day delay threshold is measured from the originally scheduled date of July 7, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Jasmine Paolini in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Jasmine Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Jasmine Paolini in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Jasmine Paolini. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracking this match often reflect different risk profiles than traditional sportsbooks. Market odds are set by traders who profit or lose based on accuracy, creating incentives for honest price discovery. Sportsbooks, by contrast, build in margins and adjust lines to balance liability. Prediction market prices tend to incorporate real-time information and trader conviction more dynamically, while sportsbooks may lag or smooth adjustments. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.

Polymarket and Predict may show different odds due to variations in liquidity, user base composition, and fee structures. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Traders on one platform may have stronger conviction or access to different information flows, causing temporary price gaps. Arbitrage traders often exploit these spreads, but friction costs and platform-specific rules can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both venues reveals where sentiment diverges and can signal emerging consensus shifts as the match date approaches.

Recent form and head-to-head records are primary drivers; strong performances by either player in warm-up events will shift odds. Injury reports or fitness concerns can trigger sharp repricing. Court conditions and surface preference matter at Wimbledon, as grass favors certain playing styles. Media narratives, betting syndicate activity, and shifts in trader positioning also influence prices. Major upsets in earlier rounds or unexpected player withdrawals could reshape expectations for this specific matchup.