TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the Wimbledon WTA tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Robin Montgomery, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 09:03 UTC (6:00 AM ET). Markets track both the match winner and whether the match completes under normal play conditions.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jasmine Paolini and Robin Montgomery in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jasmine Paolini' if Jasmine Paolini advances against Robin Montgomery. This market will resolve to 'Robin Montgomery' if Robin Montgomery advances against Jasmine Paolini. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Jasmine Paolini" if Jasmine Paolini defeats Robin Montgomery in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Robin Montgomery" if Robin Montgomery defeats Jasmine Paolini. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different prices on the same match due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in order-book structure, fee schedules, and the timing of large trades also create temporary arbitrage gaps. Polymarket may attract retail traders focused on Wimbledon, while Limitless draws a broader derivatives audience, leading each platform to price risk slightly differently. These spreads typically narrow as resolution approaches and more capital flows toward the tighter pricing.
Pre-match injury reports, recent form updates, and head-to-head records can shift trader sentiment significantly. Court conditions, draw positioning, and momentum from earlier Wimbledon rounds will influence how traders reassess each player's chances. Betting-market activity and social media sentiment around either player may also trigger repricing. Close matches or unexpected upsets in related WTA events can alter perceived skill gaps. Real-time match flow—breaks of serve, set scores, and momentum swings—will drive the most dramatic price moves as the match unfolds and traders update their expectations.