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402,751

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Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson?

Volume:
$25,546

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 9, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Katerina Siniakova / Taylor Townsend

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,300
N/A
N/A
$5,245
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hao-Ching Chan / Clara Tauson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,242
N/A
N/A
$7,058
Settled
No
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Chan/Tauson Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

A Wimbledon 2026 WTA women's doubles match between the team of Katerina Siniakova and Taylor Townsend against Hao-Ching Chan and Clara Tauson, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET in the Round of 64. The event group contains markets tracking both the match winner and whether the match completes under normal play conditions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's winner and completion markets use different completion standards than Kalshi's match-started framework. Polymarket treats walkovers and certain forfeits as 50-50 or advancing-team outcomes, while Kalshi treats any outcome after a ball is played as Yes. The markets measure different things despite appearing similar.Hero tip: Do not assume Polymarket and Kalshi completion markets are interchangeable. Polymarket's completion market requires normal play through all sets/games; Kalshi's requires only that a ball be played. In retirement or mid-match default scenarios, outcomes diverge. Cross-platform arbitrage risk exists if one platform prices in walkover/forfeit scenarios differently than the other.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Winner market resolves to advancing team if match begins and one team retires, defaults, or is disqualified. Resolves 50-50 for walkovers (pre-match withdrawal), cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days. Completion market requires all games and sets to be played under normal play to resolve Yes. Key quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances.'
  • Kalshi: Match resolves Yes if either team wins after a ball has been played, with no distinction between normal completion and forfeit/retirement scenarios. The market does not explicitly address walkovers, cancellations, or delays. Key quote: 'If Katerina Siniakova / Taylor Townsend wins...after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Siniakova/Townsend and Chan/Tauson in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siniakova/Townsend' if the team of Siniakova/Townsend advances against Chan/Tauson. This market will resolve to 'Chan/Tauson' if the team of Chan/Tauson advances against Siniakova/Townsend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on which team wins the match after play has begun. The market resolves Yes for whichever team achieves victory once a ball has been played in the match. If the match fails to occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes following the rescheduled match completion, provided this occurs within two weeks.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Wimbledon WTA doubles final across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking real-time odds for the Siniakova/Townsend versus Chan/Tauson matchup. Traders on each platform independently price the likelihood of each team's victory, creating a cross-platform consensus view of market sentiment. The aggregated volume and price movements reflect collective trader conviction as the event approaches. By monitoring both venues, you gain insight into how different market structures and trader bases evaluate the same tennis outcome, revealing potential arbitrage opportunities and the strength of consensus around each competitor's chances.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a sportsbook. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with prices reflecting live supply and demand. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probabilities over time because traders profit by identifying mispriced outcomes. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional analysis and real-time injury or weather data. Comparing the two can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional assessment, offering strategic insight for informed bettors.

Polymarket and Kalshi attract different trader demographics, regulatory frameworks, and liquidity pools, which can cause price divergence on the same event. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. One platform may have more volume concentrated on a particular outcome, pushing its price higher or lower than the other. Differences in market structure—such as order-book depth, fee schedules, and settlement speed—also influence how quickly each platform incorporates new information. Additionally, traders may hold stronger convictions on one platform based on local user behavior or platform-specific incentives. These gaps typically narrow as the event date approaches and arbitrageurs exploit mispricings, but they can persist if liquidity remains thin.