TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo?

Volume:
$6,348

Marie Bouzkova / Sara Sorribes Tormo

 - Kalshi

Marie Bouzkova / Sara Sorribes Tormo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 11:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marie Bouzkova / Sara Sorribes Tormo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,893
N/A
N/A
$4,891
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anastasia Potapova / Lilli Tagger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,221
N/A
N/A
$1,179
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Potapova/Tagger vs Bouzkova/Tormo Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers a Wimbledon 2026 WTA Women's Doubles match between Potapova/Tagger and Bouzkova/Sorribes Tormo, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET in the Round of 64. The match resolves based on whether it is completed and which team wins, with special handling for walkovers, retirements, and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Three distinct markets with different completion and advancement logic. Polymarket's completion market requires full normal play (NO on any retirement), while Polymarket's advancement market and Kalshi reward advancement even after mid-match retirement, provided a ball was played.Hero tip: Identify which market you are trading. The Polymarket completion market (YES only if full normal completion) is fundamentally different from the advancement markets (YES if a ball is played and one team advances). In retirement scenarios, completion market = NO, but advancement markets = YES to the advancing team. Kalshi's 'after a ball has been played' language aligns with the advancement logic, not the strict completion logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (Completion Market): Resolves YES only if match is played to completion through normal play. Any forfeit, retirement, walkover, or cancellation beyond 7 days = NO. Strictest interpretation. Key Quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve No.'
  • Polymarket (Advancement Market): Resolves to the advancing team if match begins and one team advances via opponent retirement/default/disqualification. Walkovers (no ball played) = 50-50. More permissive than completion market. Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if either team wins after a ball has been played. Does not explicitly exclude retirement/default scenarios, implying they count as valid wins if a ball was played. Aligns with advancement logic. Key Quote: 'If Anastasia Potapova / Lilli Tagger wins... after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Potapova/Tagger and Bouzkova/Tormo in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Potapova/Tagger' if the team of Potapova/Tagger advances against Bouzkova/Tormo. This market will resolve to 'Bouzkova/Tormo' if the team of Bouzkova/Tormo advances against Potapova/Tagger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on which team wins the match after play has begun. The market resolves Yes for whichever team achieves victory once a ball has been played in the match. If the match fails to occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes following the rescheduled match completion, provided this occurs within two weeks.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on real-money stakes and continuous order books, which often produce sharper, more responsive odds than traditional sportsbooks. Traders update positions instantly as new information emerges—injury reports, court conditions, or head-to-head momentum. Sportsbooks, by contrast, move more cautiously to manage liability. For tennis doubles, prediction markets can reflect niche player dynamics and serve patterns that casual bettors might overlook. The lack of a built-in house margin on decentralized platforms also tends to compress spreads, making them a useful benchmark for assessing true implied probability.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics and operates under distinct rules. Polymarket settles on binary match outcomes, while Kalshi uses a yes/no framing around a specific round victory. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and user interface design all influence how quickly prices adjust to news. Additionally, some traders may have stronger conviction on one venue than another, or regulatory constraints may limit participation in certain regions. These structural differences mean identical events can trade at meaningfully different odds, creating opportunities for informed traders to exploit mispricings.

Player fitness updates and practice-court form are primary catalysts. Injury reports for any of the four competitors could shift odds sharply. Head-to-head records, recent doubles results, and court-surface comfort also influence trader positioning. Draw announcements and seeding changes may alter perceived difficulty. Weather forecasts for the match day—affecting serve speed and movement—can trigger repricing. Media commentary and expert predictions often spark retail trader activity. Late-breaking news about player partnerships or tactical adjustments can move prices in the final hours before play begins. Monitor tennis news feeds and official Wimbledon communications closely.