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Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic?

Volume:
$3,156

Hanyu Guo / Kristina Mladenovic

 - Kalshi

Hanyu Guo / Kristina Mladenovic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 9:55 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Hanyu Guo / Kristina Mladenovic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,471
N/A
N/A
$1,469
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$413
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jodie Burrage / Mika Stojsavljevic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,150
N/A
N/A
$1,150
Settled
No
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Burrage/Stojsavljevic Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

A doubles tennis match between Guo/Mladenovic and Burrage/Stojsavljevic at the 2026 Wimbledon WTA Championships, scheduled for July 2, 2026. Markets across platforms assess whether the match will be completed and which team will advance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's completion market and winner market apply different rules for retirements, walkovers, and cancellations. Kalshi's winner market lacks explicit edge-case guidance, creating potential ambiguity on retirement and walkover outcomes.Hero tip: Clarify which market you are trading: Polymarket's completion (YES only if normal play to finish) vs. Polymarket's winner (YES if team advances, including post-ball retirement) vs. Kalshi's winner (YES if team wins after ball played, but edge cases undefined). Retirement scenarios are the highest-risk divergence point.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (Completion): Resolves YES only if match completes through normal play. All forfeits, walkovers, retirements, cancellations, ties, and 7+ day delays resolve NO. Strictest interpretation.
  • Polymarket (Winner): Resolves to advancing team if match begins and one team advances via retirement/default/disqualification after ball in play. Walkovers (pre-match) resolve 50-50. Cancellations, ties, and 7+ day delays resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi (Winner): Resolves YES if either team wins after a ball has been played. No explicit rules on walkovers, retirements, cancellations, or ties. Ambiguity on mid-match retirement and pre-match walkover outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Guo/Mladenovic and Burrage/Stojsavljevic in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Guo/Mladenovic' if the team of Guo/Mladenovic advances against Burrage/Stojsavljevic. This market will resolve to 'Burrage/Stojsavljevic' if the team of Burrage/Stojsavljevic advances against Guo/Mladenovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution requires that a ball be played in the match, establishing that competition has commenced. The winning team is determined by standard professional tennis match rules. If the match fails to occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per standard procedures. Postponements or delays do not close the market; it remains open and resolves after the rescheduled match concludes, provided this occurs within two weeks of the original date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on a fundamentally different model than traditional sportsbooks. Rather than a bookmaker setting odds and taking a cut, traders here buy and sell shares directly, with prices reflecting collective belief. This often produces tighter, more efficient odds because the crowd aggregates dispersed information in real time. Sportsbooks, by contrast, must account for liability and profit margins. For major tennis events, prediction market prices tend to converge with sharp sportsbook lines over time, though early divergences can signal where informed traders see value.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct rules, fee structures, and user bases. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, while Kalshi employs order-book mechanics, leading to different price discovery processes. Liquidity distribution varies too—one platform may attract more volume from tennis specialists, skewing odds. Regulatory frameworks and settlement procedures also differ slightly between venues. These structural differences mean identical information can produce different implied probabilities across platforms, creating arbitrage opportunities for traders who monitor both simultaneously.

Player injuries or withdrawal announcements typically trigger sharp repricing, as do recent warm-up tournament results and head-to-head records. Court surface conditions at Wimbledon, weather forecasts, and draw positioning can shift trader sentiment. Betting syndicates and professional sharp action often move prices in the final days before play. Media coverage highlighting form or chemistry between partners may also influence retail traders. Real-time match momentum during earlier rounds can cascade into odds adjustments for this fixture.