TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez?

Volume:
$3,573

Shuko Aoyama / En-Shuo Liang

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 10:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shuko Aoyama / En-Shuo Liang

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,690
N/A
N/A
$1,680
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro / Zeynep Sonmez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$910
N/A
N/A
$856
Settled
No
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Maneiro/Sonmez Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 17

Description

This event group covers a Wimbledon 2026 WTA Women's Doubles match between the team of Shuko Aoyama and En-Shuo Liang against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro and Zeynep Sonmez, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets track both the match winner and whether the match is completed through normal play.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's winner and completion markets have conflicting resolution logic for forfeits, retirements, and walkovers. Kalshi's market lacks explicit guidance on these edge cases, creating ambiguity in how 'after a ball has been played' applies to incomplete matches.Hero tip: The key trading risk is forfeit scenarios. Polymarket's winner market and completion market will diverge if a walkover occurs (winner = 50-50, completion = No) or if retirement happens mid-match (winner = advancing team, completion = No). Kalshi's 'after a ball has been played' language suggests it may resolve Yes in retirement scenarios, conflicting with Polymarket's completion market. Lock in your position based on your view of match completion risk, and monitor for any pre-match withdrawals or player injury reports.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket (Winner Market): Resolves to advancing team if match begins and one team retires, defaults, or is disqualified. Resolves 50-50 for walkovers (pre-match withdrawal), cancellations, ties, or delays beyond 7 days. Key quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances.'
  • Polymarket (Completion Market): Resolves to No if any forfeit occurs (walkover, retirement, default), if match is canceled, ends in tie, or delayed beyond 7 days without completion. Resolves to Yes only if all games and sets required for a winner are played through normal play. Key quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves to Yes if either team wins after a ball has been played. No explicit guidance on walkovers, retirements, cancellations, or ties. Key quote: 'If Shuko Aoyama / En-Shuo Liang wins...after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Aoyama/Liang and Maneiro/Sonmez in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aoyama/Liang' if the team of Aoyama/Liang advances against Maneiro/Sonmez. This market will resolve to 'Maneiro/Sonmez' if the team of Maneiro/Sonmez advances against Aoyama/Liang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution requires that a ball be played in the match to confirm it has officially started. The market resolves Yes for whichever team wins the match once play has begun. If the match is cancelled before any ball is played due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other circumstances, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. Postponements or delays do not close the market; it remains open until the rescheduled match concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two weeks of the original date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here often reflect sharper, more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks because traders face direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. Sportsbooks build in margin and may lag behind breaking news or injury updates, whereas this market adjusts in real time as new information emerges. For a doubles final of this caliber, comparing prediction market consensus to major sportsbook lines can reveal value opportunities, especially if one venue has slower liquidity or different trader composition than the other.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge due to differences in user base composition, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. One platform may attract more professional traders while the other draws casual participants, leading to temporary mispricings. Additionally, if one venue has lower volume or slower order-book depth, prices may lag behind breaking news—such as a player injury or court conditions update—creating arbitrage windows before both markets converge.

Key catalysts include player injuries, withdrawal announcements, or recent performance trends in lead-up tournaments. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and head-to-head records between the pairs can also shift trader sentiment. Media coverage highlighting one team's form or a player's injury concerns will likely trigger repricing. Additionally, any official Wimbledon announcements regarding scheduling or bracket changes could influence implied probabilities, so monitoring sports news and official tournament updates is essential for staying ahead of market moves.