TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani?

Volume:
$77,166

Gabriela Dabrowski / Luisa Stefani

 - Kalshi

Gabriela Dabrowski / Luisa Stefani - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 9:24 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gabriela Dabrowski / Luisa Stefani

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,070
N/A
N/A
$33,893
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Shuko Aoyama / En-Shuo Liang

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,681
N/A
N/A
$16,595
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Dabrowski/Stefani Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a Wimbledon WTA Women's Doubles semifinal match scheduled for July 10, 2026 between the team of Shuko Aoyama and En-Shuo Liang against Gabriela Dabrowski and Luisa Stefani. The markets track both which team advances and whether the match is completed under normal play conditions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket distinguishes between match advancement and match completion (two separate markets with different rules), while Kalshi uses a single binary that treats advancement after any ball as resolution. Polymarket's walkover rule (50-50) conflicts with Kalshi's advancement-based logic for pre-match withdrawals.Hero tip: If the match is abandoned before a ball is played (walkover), Polymarket resolves 50-50 while Kalshi's outcome is ambiguous. If the match begins but ends in retirement/default, both platforms resolve to the advancing team on the winner market, but Polymarket's separate completion market resolves No. Trade accordingly based on which platform and market type you are using.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Two separate markets: (1) Winner market resolves to advancing team, but 50-50 if walkover, tie, cancellation, or delay >7 days without completion. (2) Completion market resolves Yes only if all sets/games played to completion under normal play; any forfeit, retirement, default, disqualification, or walkover = No. Key Quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Kalshi: Single binary: resolves Yes if either team wins after a ball has been played. Retirement, default, or disqualification of opponent counts as advancement and triggers Yes. No explicit walkover clause; no mention of 50-50 outcomes. Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, then the market resolves to the team who advances.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Aoyama/Liang and Dabrowski/Stefani in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aoyama/Liang' if the team of Aoyama/Liang advances against Dabrowski/Stefani. This market will resolve to 'Dabrowski/Stefani' if the team of Dabrowski/Stefani advances against Aoyama/Liang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution requires that a ball has been played in the match. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per standard rules. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes, provided this occurs within two weeks of the original date.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here reflect real-money trader conviction, often moving faster than traditional sportsbooks on niche events. While sportsbooks employ oddsmakers and manage liability across many bettors, prediction markets aggregate distributed opinion through continuous price discovery. For a specialized matchup like this one, prediction market odds can offer sharper or earlier signals, though liquidity and volume matter—compare the depth of interest here against major betting venues to gauge reliability and edge.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under different regulatory frameworks, user bases, and market-making incentives. Kalshi and Polymarket may attract traders with varying risk appetites or information sets, causing temporary price gaps. Arbitrage opportunities can emerge if one platform prices the outcome significantly higher or lower than the other, though transaction costs and withdrawal delays often prevent perfect convergence. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and understand where smart money is positioning ahead of the match.

Player injuries, withdrawal announcements, or recent form updates could shift odds significantly before the match begins. Betting action from sharp traders or institutional players often moves prices in the days leading up to the event. Court conditions, draw positioning, and head-to-head records between the pairs may also influence trader positioning. Real-time match momentum—if the event is already underway—will drive rapid repricing as each set progresses, making this market highly responsive to live developments.