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406,019

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30,401

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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61%

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Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
polymarket
limitless
kalshi

Who will win Yastremska vs Bouzas Maneiro?

Volume:
$1,868,609

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

 - Kalshi

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 10:35 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$743,134
N/A
N/A
$365,953
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$47
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 23.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dayana Yastremska

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$776,235
N/A
N/A
$423,160
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$346,536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Wimbledon: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Wimbledon WTA first-round match between Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. Aggregated data from Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi shows the leading outcome at 100.0%. The match is scheduled for July 1, 2026, with resolution determined by official match results as documented by Wimbledon organizers. Watch for any pre-match withdrawals or scheduling changes that could affect whether the match proceeds under standard competitive conditions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's match completion market (Yes/No) operates on fundamentally different logic than Kalshi and Limitless winner markets. Polymarket excludes forfeits and non-completion scenarios, while Kalshi and Limitless include all official winner declarations.Hero tip: Treat Polymarket's market as a bet on match completion under normal play, not on winner. Kalshi and Limitless are pure winner markets. A retirement or walkover will produce divergent outcomes: No on Polymarket, but a winner on Kalshi and Limitless. Price these separately.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Two distinct markets: (1) Completed Match (Yes/No) requires full normal play completion; walkovers, retirements, defaults, cancellations, or delays beyond 7 days resolve to No. (2) Winner market resolves to the advancing player if match begins and one player retires/defaults/is disqualified, but resolves to 50-50 if walkover occurs before start. Key Quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve No.'
  • Kalshi: Single winner market: resolves Yes if either player wins after a ball is played. Implicitly requires at least one ball to be played, but does not exclude retirements, defaults, or other forfeits after play begins. Key Quote: 'If Dayana Yastremska wins the Yastremska vs Bouzas Maneiro professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Women Singles Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Limitless: Single winner market: resolves to the official winner declared by governing body, explicitly including walkovers, retirements, withdrawals, defaults, and disqualifications. No distinction between normal completion and forfeits. Key Quote: 'A player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Jessica Bouzas Maneiro. This market will resolve to 'Jessica Bouzas Maneiro' if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro advances against Dayana Yastremska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins the Yastremska vs Bouzas Maneiro match at 2026 Wimbledon Women's Singles Round of 64, contingent on a ball being played. If the match does not occur before it starts due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Dayana Yastremska" if Dayana Yastremska defeats Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro" if Jessica Bouzas Maneiro defeats Dayana Yastremska. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a sportsbook. Instead of a bookmaker managing risk and margins, traders directly buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in each outcome. This often produces tighter spreads and more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks, since markets aggregate dispersed information in real time. However, prediction markets typically have lower liquidity than major sportsbooks, which can mean wider bid-ask spreads during quiet periods.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under different market rules, fee structures, and user bases, which can create temporary price gaps. Kalshi and Limitless may attract traders with different information sets, risk tolerances, or time horizons. Additionally, order flow timing and liquidity depth vary between platforms, so a large trade on one venue may move prices faster than on the other. These differences typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage between them, but gaps can persist if regulatory or technical barriers limit cross-platform trading.

Player form and recent match results are primary drivers—strong performances in lead-up tournaments or public statements about fitness can shift trader sentiment. Injury reports, withdrawal announcements, or changes to tournament seeding will trigger sharp repricing. Head-to-head history and court-surface preferences also influence positioning, especially as match day approaches. Media coverage, betting syndicate activity, and shifts in player rankings can amplify moves. Late-breaking news on either player's condition or mental state typically generates the largest intraday swings.