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406,065

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2,692

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5

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VS.

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Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

Who will win McNally vs Rybakina?

Volume:
$1,048,558

Elena Rybakina

 - Kalshi

Elena Rybakina - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 2:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Elena Rybakina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$259,589
N/A
N/A
$207,816
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499,052
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Wimbledon: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Caty McNally

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$285,109
N/A
N/A
$183,665
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$90
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Caty McNally vs Elena Rybakina Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Intro

This market tracks the total number of games played in the second set of the Caty McNally versus Elena Rybakina Wimbledon 2026 Women's Singles match. Across Kalshi, Limitless, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for the over 8.5 games outcome. Resolution will be determined by the official WTA Tennis scoring records. Watch for the match completion on or around July 9, 2026, when the final set game count will be recorded and settled.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Three platforms define winner determination and match completion differently, particularly for walkovers, retirements, defaults, and disqualifications. Kalshi requires a ball to be played; Limitless accepts any official winner declaration; Polymarket distinguishes between winner advancement and full match completion with asymmetric 50-50 rules.Hero tip: Before settlement, confirm the exact termination method (walkover pre-match vs. mid-match retirement vs. default vs. disqualification vs. full completion). Kalshi traders should expect No resolution if no ball is played. Limitless traders should expect Yes to the official winner in all scenarios. Polymarket Winner market traders should expect Yes for mid-match forfeitures but 50-50 for pre-match walkovers; Completion market traders should expect No for any non-completion scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes only if either player wins after a ball has been played. Implicitly excludes walkovers and scenarios where no ball is played. Key quote: 'after a ball has been played.'
  • Limitless: Resolves to the official declared winner under any circumstance, including walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification. Key quote: 'a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.'
  • Polymarket (Winner): Resolves to advancing player if match begins but incomplete due to retirement/default/disqualification; resolves 50-50 for pre-match walkover or cancellation. Key quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Polymarket (Completion): Resolves Yes only if all games and sets required to determine a winner are played to completion through normal play. Resolves No for any non-completion, including retirement, default, disqualification, walkover, or cancellation. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Caty McNally and Elena Rybakina in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Caty McNally' if Caty McNally advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Caty McNally. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution requires that a ball be played in the match, confirming it has officially commenced. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes only after the rescheduled match concludes, provided this occurs within two weeks of the original date.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Caty McNally" if Caty McNally defeats Elena Rybakina in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Elena Rybakina" if Elena Rybakina defeats Caty McNally. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like these operate on crowd-sourced pricing rather than traditional sportsbook models. Instead of fixed odds set by oddsmakers, this market reflects live consensus from traders betting real money on the outcome. Sportsbooks typically adjust lines to balance action and protect their margins, whereas prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from participants with direct financial incentives to be accurate. This often results in sharper, more dynamic pricing that can diverge meaningfully from conventional betting lines.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, liquidity, fee structures, and settlement rules can create pricing gaps even for identical events. Polymarket may attract professional traders focused on tennis analytics, while Kalshi draws a broader retail audience with different risk appetites. Regulatory frameworks and order-flow mechanics also vary between venues, causing one platform to price the outcome more bullishly or bearishly than the other. These gaps present arbitrage opportunities for traders monitoring both sites.