TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win the Wimbledon WTA match between Bencic and Wang?

Volume:
$478,855

Belinda Bencic

 - Kalshi

Belinda Bencic - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Belinda Bencic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$142,787
N/A
N/A
$80,022
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91,821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$78
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xinyu Wang

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$243,220
N/A
N/A
$154,570
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Xinyu Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers the professional tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Xinyu Wang scheduled for Wimbledon WTA on July 1, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. Markets span match completion, winner determination, set winners, game totals across multiple sets, and set handicap outcomes. Resolution depends on official WTA/Grand Slam statistics and handles edge cases including walkovers, retirements, cancellations, and delays.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Match completion and winner determination logic differs across platforms. Polymarket requires normal play completion and excludes retirement/default (resolves NO), while Kalshi and Predict include these scenarios as valid match conclusions (resolve YES or to advancing player).Hero tip: Polymarket's 'Completed Match' market is a distinct product from Kalshi's match winner market. If you are hedging a Kalshi position with Polymarket, be aware that a retirement will resolve opposite directions: YES on Kalshi, NO on Polymarket. Use Predict's match winner market as a closer proxy to Kalshi's logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Match Completion (Binary): Resolves YES only if all games and sets required to determine a winner are played to completion through normal play. Resolves NO on any forfeit, walkover, retirement, default, disqualification, cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Key Quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve No.'
  • Kalshi: Match Winner (Binary): Resolves YES if either Bencic or Wang wins after a ball has been played, with no explicit exclusion for retirement or default. The market does not specify completion method. Key Quote: 'If Belinda Bencic wins the Bencic vs Wang professional tennis match...after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Predict: Match Winner (Categorical): Resolves to advancing player if match begins but is incomplete due to opponent retirement, default, or disqualification. Resolves 50-50 on walkover (pre-match withdrawal), cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Xinyu Wang in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Belinda Bencic' if Belinda Bencic advances against Xinyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Belinda Bencic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution requires that a ball be played in the match, establishing that competition has commenced. If either Belinda Bencic or Xinyu Wang wins the match, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the match fail to occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price per established rules. Postponements or delays do not close the market; it remains open and resolves after the rescheduled match concludes, provided this occurs within two weeks.

Predict

This market refers to the tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Xinyu Wang in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Belinda Bencic' if Belinda Bencic advances against Xinyu Wang. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Belinda Bencic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Bencic vs Wang Wimbledon match across Polymarket and Kalshi, showing real-time consensus on the likelihood of each outcome. Traders on both platforms are pricing the same event, and the cross-platform view reveals how different market structures and participant bases converge or diverge on the same question. You can monitor aggregate volume and directional shifts as new information emerges, giving you a comprehensive snapshot of where the prediction market community stands on this first-round matchup.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a sportsbook. Traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes, and the market price reflects the collective belief of all participants. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins. Prediction market prices often react faster to breaking news and tend to reflect pure probability without the vig, though liquidity and trading volume can vary significantly compared to traditional betting platforms.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, and may have varying liquidity pools. Kalshi and Polymarket also differ in fee structures, user interface design, and how aggressively they promote specific markets. Price discrepancies typically narrow as informed traders arbitrage between platforms, but temporary gaps can persist due to withdrawal delays, regional restrictions, or simply uneven order flow at any given moment.

Injury reports, recent form, head-to-head records, and court surface conditions are key catalysts. Announcements about player fitness or withdrawal from the tournament would trigger sharp repricing. Live updates during the match itself—breaks of serve, set outcomes, or momentum shifts—typically drive intraday volatility as traders react to real-time developments. Media coverage highlighting either player's preparation or psychological factors may also influence sentiment before the match begins.