TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya
limitless
polymarket

Who will win Bencic vs Kalinskaya at Wimbledon?

Volume:
$1,337,919

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,303,918
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Wimbledon: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 21.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,958
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Total Sets: O/U 2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 23.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Match O/U 22.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 Winner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 1 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Wimbledon WTA tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Anna Kalinskaya. Across Limitless and Polymarket, the consensus probability for Bencic to win stands at 50.0%, with a set handicap market (Bencic -1.5 vs Kalinskaya +1.5) at 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official WTA website. Watch for the match result on or around July 10, 2026, the estimated resolution date for this event.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Three distinct markets with incompatible edge-case handling. Limitless winner market includes all official outcomes; Polymarket completion market excludes forfeits; Polymarket winner market treats walkover and retirement differently.Hero tip: These markets serve different purposes and cannot be arbitraged. Limitless accepts walkovers as valid wins. Polymarket's completion market rejects them entirely. Polymarket's winner market uses 50-50 for walkover but advancing player for retirement. Clarify which market you are trading before the event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: Winner-only market. Resolves to the officially declared winner under all circumstances, explicitly including walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, and disqualification. No distinction between normal play and forfeit outcomes.
  • Polymarket (Completion Market): Completion-only market. Resolves to Yes only if all games and sets are played to completion through normal play. Resolves to No for any forfeit (walkover, retirement), cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Explicitly rejects forfeits.
  • Polymarket (Winner Market): Winner market with hybrid edge-case logic. Resolves to advancing player if match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification. Resolves to 50-50 if match is canceled, ends in tie, delayed beyond 7 days, or if walkover occurs (player withdraws before start).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Anna Kalinskaya in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Belinda Bencic' if Belinda Bencic advances against Anna Kalinskaya. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kalinskaya' if Anna Kalinskaya advances against Belinda Bencic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Belinda Bencic" if Belinda Bencic defeats Anna Kalinskaya in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Anna Kalinskaya" if Anna Kalinskaya defeats Belinda Bencic. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract vig, while prediction markets like those tracked here rely on trader consensus and real money at stake. Prediction markets typically incorporate faster-moving information and can be more efficient at pricing uncertainty in individual matchups. However, sportsbooks benefit from sophisticated risk management and sharp action. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd or professional oddsmakers view one player as undervalued.

Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates with distinct liquidity pools, user demographics, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Limitless and Polymarket may attract different trader profiles—some favoring one interface or regulatory environment over another. Order flow timing and market depth also differ; a large trade on one platform may not instantly arbitrage to the other if liquidity is thin. Additionally, platform-specific rules around order cancellation and settlement can influence how traders position themselves. These gaps create opportunities for alert traders to exploit temporary mispricings between venues.