TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the Wimbledon WTA tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Anna Kalinskaya. Across Limitless and Polymarket, the consensus probability for Bencic to win stands at 50.0%, with a set handicap market (Bencic -1.5 vs Kalinskaya +1.5) at 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official WTA website. Watch for the match result on or around July 10, 2026, the estimated resolution date for this event.
This market refers to the tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Anna Kalinskaya in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Belinda Bencic' if Belinda Bencic advances against Anna Kalinskaya. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kalinskaya' if Anna Kalinskaya advances against Belinda Bencic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Belinda Bencic" if Belinda Bencic defeats Anna Kalinskaya in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Anna Kalinskaya" if Anna Kalinskaya defeats Belinda Bencic. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates with distinct liquidity pools, user demographics, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Limitless and Polymarket may attract different trader profiles—some favoring one interface or regulatory environment over another. Order flow timing and market depth also differ; a large trade on one platform may not instantly arbitrage to the other if liquidity is thin. Additionally, platform-specific rules around order cancellation and settlement can influence how traders position themselves. These gaps create opportunities for alert traders to exploit temporary mispricings between venues.