TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 2:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the Wimbledon 2026 Women's Singles Round of 64 match between Barbora Krejcikova and Mirra Andreeva. Across Limitless, Polymarket, and Kalshi, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for the listed matchup outcome, with resolution determined by the official WTA website. Watch for the match completion by the estimated resolution date of July 8, 2026, as the platforms show divergence in how they handle potential walkovers or withdrawals.
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Krejcikova and Mirra Andreeva in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Krejcikova' if Barbora Krejcikova advances against Mirra Andreeva. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Barbora Krejcikova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution requires that a ball be played in the match, establishing that competition has commenced. The market resolves based on which player wins the completed match. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes, provided this occurs within two weeks of the original scheduled date.
This market will resolve to "Barbora Krejcikova" if Barbora Krejcikova defeats Mirra Andreeva in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Mirra Andreeva" if Mirra Andreeva defeats Barbora Krejcikova. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in liquidity, user base composition, and fee structures can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract traders with different information sets or risk tolerances, causing one platform to price the outcome higher or lower than the other. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but if capital is slow to move or if one platform has significantly lower volume, gaps can persist. Monitoring both venues helps you identify which platform is pricing the match more efficiently at any given moment.
Key catalysts include recent tournament results and head-to-head records, player injury announcements or fitness updates, and surface-specific performance data leading up to the match. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and draw positioning can also shift trader sentiment. Major upsets or unexpected retirements in related tournaments may influence confidence in either player. Media coverage highlighting form streaks or tactical matchups often triggers repricing. Monitor official tour announcements and credible sports journalism for developments that could materially alter the odds before the match begins.