TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 1:44 PM EST
Predict
This market refers to the tennis match between Amanda Anisimova and Madison Keys in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amanda Anisimova' if Amanda Anisimova advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Amanda Anisimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Amanda Anisimova and Madison Keys in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Amanda Anisimova' if Amanda Anisimova advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Amanda Anisimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. For this matchup, comparing the implied probability on Predict to published sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd of prediction market traders is more or less bullish on a particular player than professional oddsmakers. Such gaps sometimes highlight overlooked information or differing risk assessments.
On Predict, traders directly set prices by buying and selling outcome shares, with the current market price reflecting the aggregate belief about which player will win. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing toward one outcome, the higher its price climbs; conversely, skepticism or new information can push prices lower. This continuous price discovery mechanism means odds update in real time as fresh news, player form, or betting patterns emerge, allowing you to trade at prices that may shift significantly between now and the match.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Wimbledon WTA match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which player wins the match according to official tournament records. Until that point, prices may fluctuate as traders reassess player form, injury reports, court conditions, and other factors that could influence the result.
Several catalysts can shift prices before the match takes place. Injury announcements or fitness updates about either player often trigger sharp moves, as do recent tournament results or head-to-head record developments. Changes in seeding, draw position, or court surface conditions may also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, betting patterns from professional syndicates, media coverage highlighting form or momentum, and real-time match developments during earlier rounds can all prompt repricing as the event draws closer.