TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 4:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess whether either team secures a victory by a margin exceeding specific goal differences during the match's regular time.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if Wimbledon or Milton Keynes wins the match scheduled for September 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the 'Wimbledon wins by more than 2.5 goals' market occurs only if Wimbledon wins by 3 or more goals. Similarly, the 'Wimbledon wins by more than 1.5 goals' market resolves to 'Yes' if Wimbledon wins by 2 or more goals. Conversely, 'Milton Keynes wins by more than 1.5 goals' and 'Milton Keynes wins by more than 2.5 goals' markets resolve to 'Yes' if Milton Keynes wins by 2 or more goals, and 3 or more goals respectively.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. As more information becomes available and more people trade, the prediction market price tends to become more accurate. It’s common to see divergence initially, but as the event approaches, this market and sportsbook lines often converge, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing risk appetites and market structures.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Wimbledon vs Milton Keynes spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws closer, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread between Wimbledon and Milton Keynes is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether the actual spread falls above or below the contract price they purchased. The final result will be publicly available and used to determine the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team performance, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching staff could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the event itself, such as venue changes or rule modifications, could also cause significant price movement. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, may also play a role, although this market is driven primarily by trading activity on Kalshi. Major upsets in related events could also shift expectations and affect the spread.