TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks the outcome of the professional tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Jaime Faria at Wimbledon ATP 2026. Aggregated across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless, the consensus probability stands at 100.0% for the leading outcome, with resolution determined by the ATP Tour official scores. Watch the match scheduled for July 2, 2026, as the actual event date, with final settlement occurring by the resolution deadline of July 9, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Jaime Faria in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Jaime Faria. This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Zizou Bergs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The event encompasses three related markets tracking game differential in the Zizou Bergs vs Jaime Faria 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 64 match. Resolution is based on the net game advantage for either player across the full match. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to a fair price. For postponed or delayed matches, markets remain open and close following the rescheduled completion within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at Fair Market Price as determined by the Exchange.
This market will resolve to "Zizou Bergs" if Zizou Bergs defeats Jaime Faria in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Jaime Faria" if Jaime Faria defeats Zizou Bergs. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Polymarket and Kalshi may price this market differently due to variations in their user base, liquidity depth, and market structure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket frames the outcome around the Wimbledon tournament context, while Kalshi uses a games-differential format, which can attract different trader profiles and risk appetites. Liquidity imbalances, regional trader preferences, and the timing of information flow into each platform also create temporary price gaps. These differences typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit spreads, but they persist when transaction costs or platform-specific rules make cross-venue trading impractical.
Key catalysts include recent head-to-head records, player form leading into the tournament, court surface performance history, and injury reports. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates often shifts trader positioning as new information emerges. Weather conditions, seeding announcements, and draw-dependent factors can also influence perceived match difficulty. Live trading during the match itself—particularly early set results—typically drives the largest price swings as traders update their expectations based on actual performance. Monitor official tournament updates and player social media for late-breaking developments that could reshape market sentiment.