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$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Svajda vs Majchrzak at Wimbledon?

Volume:
$3,574,433

Zachary Svajda

 - Kalshi

Zachary Svajda - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 11:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Zachary Svajda

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,710,187
N/A
N/A
$776,767
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$451,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 38.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 4 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 36.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 4 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 3 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Match O/U 40.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kamil Majchrzak

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,408,870
N/A
N/A
$762,859
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 3 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Kamil Majchrzak Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks whether Zachary Svajda will defeat Kamil Majchrzak in their 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 64 match. Aggregated across Polymarket and Kalshi, the consensus probability stands at 100.0% for match completion after a ball is played. Resolution is determined by the official match outcome as recorded by Wimbledon. Watch for the scheduled match on July 1, 2026, as the actual event date, with final resolution occurring by July 8, 2026, the end of the betting period for this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a minimal threshold (any ball played) to resolve either outcome as Yes, while Polymarket separates match outcome from match completion and applies different 50-50 rules for walkovers and delays. The two platforms are measuring different things.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as distinct markets with different risk profiles. Kalshi is more permissive (resolves Yes on any ball played); Polymarket outcome market is more granular (distinguishes winner from completion). On Polymarket, a retirement after play begins resolves the outcome market to the advancing player but the completion market to No. Kalshi would resolve Yes for the advancing player. Walkovers resolve 50-50 on Polymarket outcome but are ambiguous on Kalshi. Always cross-check ATP Tour official records.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Single binary market: resolves Yes if either player wins after a ball is played. Does not distinguish between normal completion and retirement/default scenarios. Logic for walkovers is not explicitly stated.
  • Polymarket: Two separate markets: (1) Outcome market resolves to the advancing player, or 50-50 for walkover/cancellation/tie/7-day delay. (2) Completion market resolves Yes only if all sets/games are played to normal conclusion; No for any forfeit, walkover, retirement, cancellation, tie, or 7-day delay. Explicitly distinguishes normal play from forfeiture.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Zachary Svajda and Kamil Majchrzak in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zachary Svajda' if Zachary Svajda advances against Kamil Majchrzak. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Zachary Svajda. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Resolution requires that a ball be played in the match, establishing that competition has officially commenced. If the match does not occur before play begins—due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation—the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes only after the rescheduled match concludes, provided the rescheduling occurs within two weeks. The winner is determined by standard professional tennis rules governing the 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 64.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what thousands of traders collectively believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook offerings can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market prices tend to converge toward consensus as the event approaches.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, liquidity depth, fee structures, and trading mechanics can create temporary price gaps. Kalshi and Polymarket attract different trader demographics and may have varying order-book depths at any given moment. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but friction costs and platform-specific rules mean small divergences often persist. Monitoring both platforms reveals which side of the market is more confident and can signal shifting sentiment as new information emerges.

Player injury reports, recent form and head-to-head records, court conditions, and draw analysis are key catalysts that shift trader positioning. News of illness, withdrawal, or lineup changes can trigger sharp repricing. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates often moves odds as consensus hardens. Weather forecasts affecting grass-court play and late-breaking odds from other sportsbooks can also influence this market. Traders monitor social media, official tour updates, and player statements for any edge before the opening serve.