TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 9:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the Wimbledon ATP match between Taylor Fritz and Alexander Zverev, including both the match winner and whether play concludes under standard rules. Across Polymarket and Limitless, the consensus probability that the match will be completed stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the ATP Tour official scores database. Watch for the match completion status as of July 15, 2026, the resolution date estimate, to confirm settlement across platforms.
This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Taylor Fritz" if Taylor Fritz defeats Alexander Zverev in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 8, 2026, 14:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Alexander Zverev" if Alexander Zverev defeats Taylor Fritz. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Both platforms host the same question, yet prices can diverge due to differences in user base, liquidity depth, and fee structures. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket may attract larger volumes and tighter spreads, while Limitless might see different trader sentiment or lower participation at any given moment. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, but friction—withdrawal delays, platform fees, and slippage on smaller orders—often prevents prices from converging completely. Monitoring both venues helps you spot mispricings and understand which community is more confident in a particular outcome.