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Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn
kalshi
polymarket
limitless

Who will win Mochizuki vs Quinn?

Volume:
$4,360,932

Shintaro Mochizuki

 - Kalshi

Shintaro Mochizuki - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 1, 1:25 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Shintaro Mochizuki

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,160,838
N/A
N/A
$1,173,232
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$532,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Wimbledon: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,032
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 3 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ethan Quinn

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,655,877
N/A
N/A
$766,297
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Match O/U 36.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$674
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Match O/U 38.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 4 Winner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 53¢
6¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Ethan Quinn Set 4 O/U 8.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks whether Shintaro Mochizuki will defeat Ethan Quinn in their 2026 Wimbledon Men's Singles Round of 64 match. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Limitless, the aggregated consensus stands at 100.0% for Mochizuki to win. Resolution will be determined by the official outcome of the professional tennis match as documented by Wimbledon. Watch for the scheduled match on July 1, 2026, to see how the contest unfolds and settles the market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Three platforms define match resolution differently with respect to incomplete matches, retirements, defaults, and walkovers. Kalshi is vague; Polymarket splits into two markets with opposite logic; Limitless treats all official outcomes as valid.Hero tip: The core divergence is whether a retirement, default, or walkover counts as a valid match outcome or a failed resolution. Kalshi and Polymarket Match Completion require full play; Polymarket Match Winner and Limitless accept official advancement. Before the match, verify which semantic applies to your position on each platform. A player withdrawal or injury will trigger different payouts.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if Mochizuki or Quinn wins after a ball is played. Does not explicitly address retirements, defaults, disqualifications, or walkovers. Minimal specification of edge cases. Key quote: 'after a ball has been played.'
  • Polymarket (Match Completion): Resolves Yes only if all games and sets required to determine a winner are played to completion through normal play. Resolves No if match is incomplete, forfeited, retired, or delayed beyond 7 days. Key quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve to No.'
  • Polymarket (Match Winner): Resolves to advancing player if match begins but incomplete due to retirement/default/disqualification. Resolves 50-50 for walkover, cancellation, or delay beyond 7 days. Key quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.'
  • Limitless: Resolves to the officially declared winner, explicitly including walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification. No distinction between normal play and incomplete matches. Key quote: 'a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Ethan Quinn in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Ethan Quinn. This market will resolve to 'Ethan Quinn' if Ethan Quinn advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

This event covers the professional tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Ethan Quinn in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round of 64. Resolution requires that a ball has been played, establishing that the match officially commenced. If the match does not occur before play begins—due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation—the market will resolve to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close following the rescheduled match completion, provided this occurs within two weeks of the original scheduled date.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Shintaro Mochizuki" if Shintaro Mochizuki defeats Ethan Quinn in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 1, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Ethan Quinn" if Ethan Quinn defeats Shintaro Mochizuki. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus and real-money risk. This market aggregates multiple prediction platforms, which often reflect sharper, less-biased estimates than traditional sportsbooks because traders face direct financial consequences for inaccuracy. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities.

Polymarket and Kalshi may price this market differently due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, and market microstructure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi's regulatory framework and order-matching engine can produce different equilibrium prices than Limitless's design. Additionally, timing lags in information flow between platforms, differences in fee structures, and the composition of active traders on each venue all contribute to price divergence. These gaps typically narrow as traders arbitrage across platforms.

Several catalysts could shift prices significantly before resolution. Injury reports, training footage, or official statements from either competitor's camp often trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage and expert analysis can sway trader sentiment, while betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks sometimes lead prediction markets. Close to the event date, lineup confirmations and final weigh-ins typically drive volatility. Real-time updates during the match itself will produce the sharpest moves as traders react to live performance data.