TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the total number of games played in the fourth set of the Jiri Lehecka versus Alexander Zverev ATP match at Wimbledon. The consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict shows 100.0% for the over 8.5 games outcome. Resolution will be determined by Official ATP Tour statistics at atptour.com, with credible reporting consensus serving as a secondary source if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch the match scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET to see whether the fourth set extends beyond nine games.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Alexander Zverev. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Predict may also have different user bases with varying information access or risk appetites. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but friction costs—withdrawal delays, platform fees, or slippage on smaller volumes—can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both venues helps you spot value and understand where smart money is positioning ahead of the match.
Key catalysts include player injury reports, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court conditions at Wimbledon. Shifts in sportsbook odds often precede prediction market moves, so monitoring major betting platforms can provide early signals. Weather forecasts, player statements, and draws affecting seeding may also influence trader positioning. Late-breaking news on fitness or form typically triggers sharp repricing, especially as match day approaches and liquidity concentrates.