TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 3:05 PM EST
Predict
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Alex Molcan in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Alex Molcan in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if Jiri Lehecka advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Jiri Lehecka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks often diverge because they operate under different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and protect profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader consensus—each participant risks real capital on their belief. This market aggregates the collective judgment of traders betting their own money, which can sometimes reveal edges that sportsbooks have priced differently. Comparing the two can highlight where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree most sharply.
On Predict, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, with the share price reflecting the implied probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more capital flows toward one player, that outcome's price rises, and the competing outcome falls—a continuous mechanism that keeps pricing efficient and responsive to new information. The bid-ask spread represents the current consensus range, and you can execute trades at posted prices or place limit orders to wait for your target entry point.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the match concludes and the winner is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official result recorded by the tournament organizers and confirmed through established sports reporting channels. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust positions as new information emerges—player form, court conditions, or injury updates—allowing the market price to evolve right up to the final bell.
Key catalysts include recent match results and head-to-head records, which shape expectations about playing style matchups. Injury reports or fitness updates for either player can trigger sharp repricing, as can court surface conditions and weather forecasts specific to Wimbledon's grass courts. Betting action itself—large trades or sustained directional flow—often signals informed positioning. Media commentary, expert predictions, and any pre-match statements from the players can also shift trader sentiment and move prices meaningfully in the final days before play begins.