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406,422

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Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win Sinner vs Djokovic at Wimbledon?

Volume:
$10,590,494

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,037,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$42,982
$89,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jannik Sinner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$461,650
N/A
N/A
$376,693
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$287,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$136,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$13,313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 Winner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
1¢
N/A
$540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 8.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
—
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 10.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
51¢
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 4 O/U 9.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 59¢
18¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Novak Djokovic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$366,746
N/A
N/A
$271,395
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 38.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$72,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,456
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 36.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,391
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Match O/U 40.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,067
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market tracks the total number of games played in the fourth set of the Jannik Sinner versus Novak Djokovic match at Wimbledon ATP. Across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, the consensus probability for the over 10.5 games outcome stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by Official ATP Tour statistics and Grand Slam event organizer records, with credible reporting consensus used if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled on July 8, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET to see how the fourth set unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms (Polymarket, Kalshi, Predict) apply consistent resolution logic: official ATP/Grand Slam sources, 50-50 for incomplete/cancelled/delayed matches, retirement/default advances the opponent, and tiebreaks count as one game.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour statistics and Grand Slam event organizer records; consensus of credible reporting if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the player who advances; if opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified after play begins, the advancing player wins
  • Walkover (pre-match withdrawal) resolves to 50-50
  • Set and games markets resolve 50-50 if the relevant set or match is not completed for any reason
  • Cancellation before play begins resolves to 50-50
  • Delay beyond 7 days from scheduled date without play or completion resolves to 50-50
  • All tiebreaks (including super/champions tiebreaks) count as one game toward games totals
  • Set handicap markets resolve based on final completed score differential

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Incomplete Match with Retirement: If match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to opponent retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the advancing player (not 50-50)
  • Set Not Reached: Set winner markets (Set 2, 3, 4) and set games markets resolve 50-50 if the match ends before that set is reached
  • Tiebreak Counting: Any tiebreak in any set counts as exactly one game toward the total games count, including super/champions tiebreaks
  • 7-Day Delay Threshold: If match is delayed more than 7 days from July 8, 2026 scheduled date without a winner determined or play beginning, all markets resolve 50-50
  • Official Statistics Timing: Official Grand Slam statistics are the primary source; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, consensus of credible reporting may be used
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by ATP Tour or Grand Slam event organizers, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensusOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Novak Djokovic. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins set 1 in the specified semifinal match. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.

Predict

This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 8, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Novak Djokovic. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Sinner vs Djokovic Wimbledon match. Traders on Polymarket are pricing the overall match outcome, while Kalshi offers granular set-level contracts. The cross-platform view reveals consensus pricing and volume concentration, helping you spot where smart money is positioned. Combined liquidity and diverging odds between platforms signal where market inefficiencies may exist as the event approaches.

Prediction markets like these operate on real-money stakes and continuous price discovery, often reflecting sharper consensus than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks manage liability and set margins; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For tennis matchups, prediction market odds tend to react faster to injury news, surface conditions, and head-to-head momentum. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal value, especially when one platform reprices faster than the other.

Polymarket and Kalshi attract different trader bases, contract structures, and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket focuses on binary match outcomes, while Kalshi segments the event into set-level propositions, allowing traders to express more granular views. Regulatory frameworks, fee structures, and order-book depth also vary between platforms. These structural differences mean prices can diverge meaningfully, creating arbitrage opportunities for alert traders monitoring both venues.

Injury announcements, recent tournament form, and head-to-head momentum are primary catalysts. Court conditions at Wimbledon, player fitness updates, and warm-up tournament results will shift odds as the event nears. Media narratives around seeding, mental resilience, and surface preference also influence trader positioning. Unexpected withdrawals or late-round upsets in lead-up events can trigger sharp repricing. Monitor player social media, official ATP communications, and betting-market volume spikes for early signals of shifting conviction.