TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 10:00 AM EST
Predict
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 5, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives to forecast accurately. For this market, comparing the implied probabilities can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree on each player's likelihood of victory. These gaps sometimes highlight undervalued or overvalued outcomes relative to analytical consensus.
On Predict, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's probability, ranging from near-zero to near-certain. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tightly prices cluster around fair value, so markets with higher activity tend to reflect more refined consensus.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official winner as confirmed by ATP and Wimbledon records. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds shift with match developments, player news, and betting sentiment. Resolution is final once the event is officially documented.
Several factors may shift odds before the match begins: player injury reports, recent tournament performance, head-to-head history, court conditions, and seeding announcements. Betting syndicates and professional traders often react quickly to news, causing sharp price moves. Casual trader activity can also spike around major announcements or as the match date approaches. Weather forecasts, player statements, and lineup confirmations closer to the event may trigger additional volatility, so monitoring these catalysts helps explain price momentum in this market.