TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the Wimbledon ATP tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Terence Atmane, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026. Two platforms offer markets on the match outcome, with one additional market on whether the match will be completed through normal play.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Terence Atmane in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Terence Atmane. This market will resolve to 'Terence Atmane' if Terence Atmane advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Frances Tiafoe" if Frances Tiafoe defeats Terence Atmane in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Terence Atmane" if Terence Atmane defeats Frances Tiafoe. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Both platforms host the same event, but price divergence occurs naturally due to different user bases, liquidity depths, and trading activity patterns. Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket typically attracts larger volumes and more sophisticated traders, potentially tightening spreads and reflecting faster information flow. Limitless may see different participation or risk appetite among its community. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities and highlight how decentralized prediction markets remain imperfectly efficient, rewarding traders who monitor cross-platform spreads.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the match begins. Injury reports or player withdrawals would trigger sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and court surface performance data influence trader sentiment as the event nears. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side often precedes broader market movement. Weather conditions at Wimbledon, draw positioning, and any last-minute lineup changes can also move prices. Social media momentum and mainstream sports coverage occasionally drive retail participation, creating volatility independent of fundamental factors.