TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski
predict
limitless

Who will win the Tiafoe vs Choinski Wimbledon ATP match?

Volume:
$567

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski

all

2 markets

Predict

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 4:25 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski

View
N/A
N/A
—
$1,193
$567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Wimbledon: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski

View
N/A
N/A
0¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market group covers the Wimbledon ATP tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Jan Choinski, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET / 09:03 UTC. The market resolves based on which player advances or wins the match, with specific handling for edge cases like walkovers, retirements, and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms diverge on walkover resolution. predict treats pre-match walkovers as 50-50 outcomes, while limitless treats all official winner declarations (including walkovers) as decisive outcomes favoring the advancing player.Hero tip: Track player withdrawal status up to match start time. If a walkover is declared before play begins, expect predict to resolve 50-50 and limitless to resolve to the advancing player. This creates a potential arbitrage or hedge opportunity depending on market odds.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Walkover (pre-match withdrawal) resolves to 50-50. Mid-match retirement, default, or disqualification resolves to the advancing player. Cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days without winner also resolves to 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • limitless: Any official winner declaration resolves to that winner, including walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification. No 50-50 outcomes mentioned. Key Quote: 'For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Predict

This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Jan Choinski in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Jan Choinski. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Frances Tiafoe" if Frances Tiafoe defeats Jan Choinski in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 2, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Jan Choinski" if Jan Choinski defeats Frances Tiafoe. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events through fundamentally different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus and continuous order flow. Prediction market prices often reflect longer-term information and can diverge from sportsbook lines, especially in niche matchups where liquidity is lower. Comparing this market across platforms and against major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities for informed bettors.

Predict and Limitless may price this market differently due to variations in user base composition, fee structures, and liquidity depth. Predict and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform-specific incentives, promotional activity, and the timing of large trades can also create temporary spreads. Traders monitoring both venues may exploit these gaps by buying on the cheaper platform and selling on the more expensive one, gradually narrowing the divergence as arbitrage activity increases.

Key catalysts include recent performance trends, injury reports, head-to-head history, and draw positioning within the tournament bracket. Court surface conditions, weather forecasts, and player fitness updates closer to match day typically drive sharp price movement. Major upsets or unexpected withdrawals by other seeded players can also shift market sentiment indirectly. Real-time news flow and social media discussion often precede measurable odds shifts on both platforms.