TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 12:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a Wimbledon ATP Men's Doubles Quarterfinal match scheduled for July 7, 2026 between the team of Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten against Guido Andreozzi and Manuel Guinard. The markets track both the match outcome (which team advances) and whether the match is completed through normal play.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Helioevaara/Patten and Andreozzi/Guinard in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Helioevaara/Patten' if the team of Helioevaara/Patten advances against Andreozzi/Guinard. This market will resolve to 'Andreozzi/Guinard' if the team of Andreozzi/Guinard advances against Helioevaara/Patten. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves based on the result of the Heliovaara / Patten vs Andreozzi / Guinard professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Doubles Quarterfinal, contingent upon a ball being played. If the match does not commence due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation before play begins, the market will resolve to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close following the rescheduled match completion within two weeks.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates under distinct regulatory frameworks, user bases, and liquidity profiles. Polymarket and Kalshi may attract different trader demographics with varying information access or risk appetites. Timing lags in order-book updates, differences in market depth, and platform-specific fee structures can all create temporary price gaps. Additionally, each venue's rules for dispute resolution and outcome verification may influence how traders price tail risks, causing the two markets to converge and diverge as new evidence surfaces or liquidity shifts between platforms.
Player injury reports, recent tournament performance, and head-to-head records will shape trader conviction leading up to the match. Draws, seeding announcements, and any roster changes or partner substitutions can trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage highlighting form trends or court-surface advantages may also shift sentiment. Weather forecasts closer to the event date could influence expectations around playing conditions. Finally, movement on related markets—such as singles outcomes or other doubles pairings—may provide correlated signals that traders use to adjust their positions on this specific matchup.