TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 6:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the professional tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Roman Andres Burruchaga scheduled for Wimbledon ATP Round of 128 on June 29, 2026. Markets track both match completion (full games played) and match winner outcome, with resolution dependent on whether the match concludes through normal play or via retirement/walkover.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market will resolve to 'Roman Andres Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The match outcome is determined by counting all completed games across the full match. Resolution occurs based on the total game count reaching specified thresholds. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays do not close the market; it remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at fair market price as determined by the Exchange.
This market will resolve to "Alex de Minaur" if Alex de Minaur defeats Roman Andres Burruchaga in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Roman Andres Burruchaga" if Roman Andres Burruchaga defeats Alex de Minaur. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different rule sets, liquidity pools, and trader demographics, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's fee structure, minimum trade sizes, and user base composition influence how quickly new information gets priced in. Polymarket may attract longer-term position holders, while Kalshi might draw more active traders, leading to different short-term volatility and bid-ask spreads. Monitoring both venues helps you identify which platform offers better entry or exit prices for your thesis on total games in this matchup.