TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

How many games will be played in de Minaur vs Burruchaga?

Volume:
$262,514

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$245,214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
limitless

Wimbledon: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,601
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-2.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,767
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 3 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 23.5 games

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$130
N/A
N/A
$130
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$125
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$24
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 4 Winner

50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
4¢
N/A
$4,920
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 28.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$835
N/A
N/A
$692
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 3.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 33.5 games

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
$304
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 36.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 38.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 40.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 3 O/U 8.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 3 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 3 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 4 O/U 8.5

50%
Yes 50¢No 79¢
34¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This event group covers the professional tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Roman Andres Burruchaga scheduled for Wimbledon ATP Round of 128 on June 29, 2026. Markets track both match completion (full games played) and match winner outcome, with resolution dependent on whether the match concludes through normal play or via retirement/walkover.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Three distinct settlement archetypes: Kalshi resolves on game count thresholds independent of match outcome; Polymarket Match Completion requires full normal play; Polymarket Winner and Limitless resolve to the advancing player including forfeiture scenarios. These markets measure different events and will not always move together.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi as a game-duration play separate from winner markets. Retirement or walkover will cause Polymarket Completion to resolve NO while Polymarket Winner and Limitless resolve to the advancing player. Monitor scheduled match time and player injury reports to forecast game count vs. completion risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate markets on game count thresholds (28.5, 23.5, 33.5 games). Resolves YES if threshold exceeded; no reference to match winner or completion method. Key Quote: 'If the number of completed games in the full match is above 28.5... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Limitless: Binary winner market. Resolves to the player officially declared winner, including walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification. Key Quote: 'A player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.'
  • Polymarket (Match Completion): Resolves YES only if all games and sets are played to completion through normal play. Resolves NO for any walkover, retirement, default, disqualification, cancellation, tie, or delay beyond 7 days. Key Quote: 'If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve No.'
  • Polymarket (Winner): Resolves to advancing player. Resolves 50-50 for walkover (pre-match withdrawal) or cancellation. Resolves to advancing player for retirement, default, or disqualification mid-match. Key Quote: 'If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market will resolve to 'Roman Andres Burruchaga' if Roman Andres Burruchaga advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The match outcome is determined by counting all completed games across the full match. Resolution occurs based on the total game count reaching specified thresholds. If the match does not commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before play begins, the market resolves to a fair price. Postponements or delays do not close the market; it remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at fair market price as determined by the Exchange.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Alex de Minaur" if Alex de Minaur defeats Roman Andres Burruchaga in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for June 29, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Roman Andres Burruchaga" if Roman Andres Burruchaga defeats Alex de Minaur. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on their risk models and aim to balance action on both sides; prediction markets rely on trader consensus, where participants directly stake capital on outcomes they believe will occur. This market reflects what traders collectively believe about total games, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal value: if this market's implied probability diverges meaningfully from a sportsbook's odds, it may signal an arbitrage opportunity or a difference in how each venue weights available information.

Polymarket and Kalshi operate under different rule sets, liquidity pools, and trader demographics, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's fee structure, minimum trade sizes, and user base composition influence how quickly new information gets priced in. Polymarket may attract longer-term position holders, while Kalshi might draw more active traders, leading to different short-term volatility and bid-ask spreads. Monitoring both venues helps you identify which platform offers better entry or exit prices for your thesis on total games in this matchup.