TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli
polymarket
predict

Who will win the Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli match?

Volume:
$2,684,766

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.5

 - Polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 6:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$584
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$68
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 Winner

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,504,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli

View
N/A
N/A
—
$100
$17,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 36.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 38.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,511
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,911
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,027
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,797
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,127
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 40.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 3 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 O/U 8.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli Set 4 O/U 9.5

View
50%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Intro

This market tracks the total number of games played in the fourth set of the Wimbledon ATP match between Alex de Minaur and Flavio Cobolli. Aggregated data from Polymarket and Predict shows a consensus probability of 100.0% for the Over 10.5 games outcome. Resolution will be determined by Official ATP Tour match statistics published on atptour.com, with credible reporting serving as backup if official data is unavailable within two hours of match conclusion. Watch for the match scheduled on July 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET to see how the fourth set unfolds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Predict maintain identical resolution criteria for the winner market, with aligned edge-case handling. The Polymarket completion market operates as a complementary binary check on match integrity.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour (atptour.com) match statistics and records; consensus of credible reporting if official data not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match resolves to the player who advances if the match is completed under normal play
  • If match begins but one player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, resolves to the advancing player
  • If match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from July 6, 2026 without a winner determined, resolves to 50-50
  • If match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before start), resolves to 50-50
  • Completion market (Polymarket only) resolves Yes only if all required games and sets are played to completion through normal play; resolves No for any cancellation, tie, delay beyond 7 days, or forfeit

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Retirement or Default Mid-Match: If the match begins but one player retires, defaults, or is disqualified before completion, the winner market resolves to the advancing player; the completion market resolves to No
  • Walkover: If a player withdraws before the match starts and the other advances automatically, the winner market resolves to 50-50; the completion market resolves to No
  • Cancellation or Tie: If the match is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, both markets resolve to 50-50 (winner) or No (completion)
  • Delay Beyond 7 Days: If the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled July 6, 2026 date without a winner determined, both markets resolve to 50-50 (winner) or No (completion)
  • Source Timing: If official ATP Tour statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used for resolution
Timing: Resolution occurs upon match completion or upon determination that the match will not be completed (cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, or walkover). Official ATP data or credible consensus must be available within 2 hours of match conclusion for final settlement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Flavio Cobolli in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Flavio Cobolli. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Alex de Minaur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through fundamentally different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often incorporating sharp-money signals and public betting patterns. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on continuous trader-to-trader price discovery; odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of all participants willing to stake capital. This market typically shows strong correlation with major sportsbook lines, though prediction markets can lead or lag depending on information flow, liquidity depth, and trader sophistication. Cross-referencing both sources often reveals where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict operate with distinct user bases, fee structures, and liquidity profiles. Polymarket may attract larger institutional traders or benefit from deeper order books in certain outcomes, while Predict might see different retail participation or regional interest. Gas fees, platform UI, and promotional incentives also influence where traders concentrate capital. Minor price gaps often close quickly as arbitrageurs exploit them; larger divergences typically signal genuine disagreement about match fundamentals or temporary liquidity imbalances. Monitoring both platforms helps you spot when one is mispricing relative to the other.