TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 12:40 PM EST
Predict
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Marton Fucsovics in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Marton Fucsovics. This market will resolve to 'Marton Fucsovics' if Marton Fucsovics advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Marton Fucsovics in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Davidovich Fokina' if Alejandro Davidovich Fokina advances against Marton Fucsovics. This market will resolve to 'Marton Fucsovics' if Marton Fucsovics advances against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges or closer to the event date. Comparing both sources can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Predict, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares, with the current market price reflecting the collective assessment of match likelihood. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular outcome, the higher its price rises; conversely, selling pressure lowers it. This continuous auction mechanism ensures prices adapt to breaking news, player form updates, or court conditions. Liquidity depth on the platform determines how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive rates.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the Wimbledon ATP match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official match winner as recorded by the ATP and Wimbledon organizers. No ambiguity typically surrounds tennis match results, making resolution straightforward. Traders should monitor the tournament schedule and any scheduling changes that might affect the exact timing.
Player injury reports, recent tournament performance, head-to-head records, and court surface conditions can all shift trader sentiment before the match begins. Withdrawal announcements or late fitness updates often trigger sharp price swings. Betting market movement on major sportsbooks may also influence prediction market traders. Closer to Jul 3, 2026, weather forecasts and official lineup confirmations can drive final adjustments. Real-time match commentary and early set results will cause the most dramatic repricing once play starts.