TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 1:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "Amanda Anisimova" if Amanda Anisimova defeats Madison Keys in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Madison Keys" if Madison Keys defeats Amanda Anisimova. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
This market will resolve to "Amanda Anisimova" if Amanda Anisimova defeats Madison Keys in their Wimbledon match originally scheduled for July 3, 2026, 09:03 UTC. It will resolve to "Madison Keys" if Madison Keys defeats Amanda Anisimova. For the purposes of this market, a player officially declared the winner of the match will be considered to have defeated the opponent, including in cases of walkover, retirement, withdrawal, default, or disqualification.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and real-money skin in the game. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants willing to stake capital on their conviction. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities based on how professional oddsmakers price the matchup.
On Limitless, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares directly. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's implied probability—higher prices mean stronger conviction that outcome will occur. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread adjusts and prices move accordingly. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price, and the continuous order book ensures transparent price discovery throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result—which player wins the contest. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the final point is played and confirmed through established tennis reporting channels. Traders should monitor the event closely as the date approaches to stay informed of any scheduling changes or other developments that could affect timing.
Several factors could shift odds significantly before resolution. Injury reports or player fitness updates in the days leading up to the match often trigger sharp moves, as does recent form and head-to-head history. Court conditions, weather forecasts, and draw positioning can influence trader positioning. News about either player's mental state, confidence, or recent tournament results may also sway the market. Major upsets or surprising performances by either competitor in warm-up events could reshape expectations and drive meaningful repricing of this market.