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Wimbledon 2026: To Reach Semifinals (Women's Singles)
polymarket

Will the listed player reach the Wimbledon 2026 women's singles semifinals?

Volume:
$56,183

Marta Kostyuk

 - Polymarket

Marta Kostyuk - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 7:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Marta Kostyuk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Coco Gauff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Karolina Muchova

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Linda Noskova

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,074
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Liudmila Samsonova

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Donna Vekic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mirra Andreeva

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Simona Waltert

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Maria Sakkari

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tatjana Maria

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mariam Bolkvadze

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anna Blinkova

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ashlyn Krueger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Emma Navarro

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sara Sorribes Tormo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,123
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jessica Pegula

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alycia Parks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Leolia Jeanjean

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ajla Tomljanovic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marie Bouzkova

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$840
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Maya Joint

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sorana Cirstea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$829
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Polina Kudermetova

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Maria Timofeeva

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Renata Zarazua

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$728
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 128

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player clinches a spot in the Semifinals in the Championships at Wimbledon per Wimbledon rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed player to clinch a spot in the Semifinals in the Championships at Wimbledon (e.g. the player is eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled, postponed after July 26, 11:59 PM ET, or the players that qualified for the Semifinals have not been officially confirmed by Wimbledon within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and WTA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The Polymarket dashboard for the Wimbledon women's semifinals market displays real-time odds on which players will advance to the final four of the 2026 tournament. Traders buy and sell shares representing each competitor's probability of reaching that stage, with the price of each share reflecting the collective forecast. The interface shows current odds for all eligible contenders, historical price movements, and trading volume of $3,445 over the last 24 hours, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. For this market, prediction market prices may respond faster to injury news, ranking shifts, or player form, whereas sportsbooks adjust more cautiously to manage liability. Neither source is inherently more accurate, but comparing both can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views persist.

On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on buy and sell pressure for each player's contract. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into a particular player's shares, the higher that contract's price rises, and vice versa. This continuous repricing mechanism means odds update instantly as new information emerges—such as seeding announcements, draw details, or pre-tournament form. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and trader confidence in each outcome.

This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the Wimbledon women's singles tournament concludes and the semifinal participants are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official results. Each player contract that reaches the semifinals settles to one, while all others settle to zero. Resolution occurs after the tournament bracket is finalized and all matches leading to the semifinals have been played and verified.

Major catalysts include the official tournament draw, seeding announcements, and any injury or withdrawal news affecting top contenders. Pre-Wimbledon warm-up results on grass courts often shift odds significantly, as do changes in player ranking or recent form. Media coverage of player fitness, coaching changes, or head-to-head records can also influence trader sentiment. As the event date approaches, each round of qualifying and early-round results will reshape probabilities for semifinal advancement, with upsets or dominant performances triggering sharp repricing across the board.