TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:40 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team might win. The resolution depends entirely on the official game result, with specific provisions for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the William & Mary vs Lehigh college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For markets predicting Lehigh victories, resolution occurs if Lehigh’s winning margin exceeds specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 34.5 points. Conversely, markets predicting William & Mary victories resolve if their margin surpasses thresholds from 1.5 to 13.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or potential biases in either the market or the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the William & Mary vs Lehigh spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing means the market is constantly updating based on new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the game’s potential outcome. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific spread.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the William & Mary vs Lehigh game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The market’s outcome is determined solely by the official game result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. News regarding key player injuries on either the William & Mary or Lehigh teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also impact the spread. Significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, might also affect trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team dynamics or coaching decisions could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.