TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored in a college football game between William & Mary and Duke. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to speculate on how high-scoring the game might be.
Each market specifies a different point threshold that must be exceeded by the combined score of both teams for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it proceeds as normal. If it does not start within that window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status or outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic market price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price can fluctuate rapidly, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point total of the William & Mary vs Duke game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official score reported by the governing body of college basketball. Any overtime periods will be included in the final point total. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct point total will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the William & Mary or Duke teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also play a role. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also impact trader sentiment. Finally, as the game day approaches, any shifts in public perception or betting trends could drive further price fluctuations in this market.