TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers various markets related to the college football game between William & Mary and Duke on September 26th. Markets include the overall game winner, point spreads, and over/under totals for points scored by both teams and in specific game quarters/halves.
In the upcoming college football game between William & Mary and Duke, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "William & Mary" if William & Mary win the game. This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between William & Mary and Duke, scheduled for September 26 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "William & Mary" if William & Mary win the game. This market will resolve to "Duke" if Duke win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting volume and ensure profitability, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when incorporating a wider range of information and diverse perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful benchmark for comparison, and arbitrage opportunities may sometimes arise between the two.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access, leading to differing opinions on the likely outcome of the William & Mary vs. Duke game. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform influences price discovery; lower volume may result in wider bid-ask spreads and less efficient pricing. These dynamics create opportunities for arbitrage, but also explain why odds aren’t always identical across venues.