TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a national league. The focus is on whether both teams will manage to score at least one goal each within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity during this standard match duration.
If Willem II and Sittard both score a goal in the Willem II vs Sittard Eredivisie match originally scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s price is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price here, potentially creating discrepancies. It's common to see this market converge towards probabilities that more accurately reflect the true likelihood of an event, as perceived by a diverse group of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Willem II vs Sittard match. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all traders on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and real-time estimate of the event's likelihood. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where the odds are set by the sportsbook and don’t change based on subsequent betting activity.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Willem II and Sittard score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result of the match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the final outcome. Traders who held contracts representing the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The market will close prior to the match’s completion to prevent trading on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Willem II or Sittard would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by either manager, could also cause movement. Finally, any significant public information regarding team morale or internal issues could also affect the price as traders react to new information before Sep 19, 2026.