TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Dec 30, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether actors Zendaya and Tom Holland will announce a marriage by the end of 2026. On Polymarket, the affirmative outcome is trading at 79.6%. Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the couple or credible reporting, with the deadline set for December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Watch for any engagement announcements or wedding date confirmations before the end of 2026, as these would be the primary signals affecting market settlement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zendaya and Tom Holland's marriage takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only announcements made within this market's timeframe will qualify. No announcements made after December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET will be considered, even if the marriage itself is announced to have taken place within the market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Zendaya and Tom Holland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The market resolves on Dec 31, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined based on whether Zendaya and Tom Holland have married by that date. Resolution depends on verifiable public records and credible media confirmation of a legal marriage ceremony. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout once the event is officially settled. The binary structure means the market will resolve to either yes or no with no partial outcomes, making the deadline and marriage status the sole determinants of final payouts.
Key catalysts include public engagement announcements, wedding date disclosures, or statements from either Zendaya or Tom Holland about marriage plans. Relationship milestones—such as red carpet appearances together, social media confirmations, or interviews discussing future commitment—typically shift market odds upward. Conversely, breakup rumors, public distance, or either party dating someone else would likely drive prices down sharply. Celebrity news cycles, paparazzi reports, and official statements from representatives can trigger rapid repricing. The market remains sensitive to any credible signal about the couple's relationship status or intentions through Dec 31, 2026.