TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the song "DNA (More Than A Game)" will achieve mainstream chart success by reaching the top tier of the Billboard Hot 100 during a specific summer window. The outcome depends on the song's commercial performance and radio/streaming popularity in the weeks following mid-June.
If DNA (More Than A Game) is Top 10 on any Billboard Hot 100 chart after June 10th and before July 26th, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the market price reflects the probability that the official 2026 FIFA World Cup anthem will chart in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 during its release window. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to yes and no outcomes, with the price representing the collective belief of market participants. As the World Cup approaches, the anthem is announced, and chart data emerges, prices adjust to incorporate new information about artist promotion, streaming performance, and radio airplay.
The market resolves on Jul 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether the official FIFA World Cup anthem achieves a position within the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 at any point during its chart run. The outcome depends on Billboard's official weekly rankings, which are based on sales, streaming, and radio airplay data. Once the anthem's chart performance is confirmed and the resolution criteria are met, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on the final outcome.
Key catalysts include the official announcement of the 2026 World Cup anthem and artist identity, initial streaming and sales performance in the first week of release, radio station adoption and airplay frequency, celebrity endorsements or promotional campaigns, and real-time Billboard chart debuts and movements. Chart performance of comparable World Cup anthems and general music trends may also influence trader expectations. Major media coverage, social media virality, and international streaming platform algorithms could accelerate or hinder the anthem's climb toward the Top 10.