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Will the official Soccer Cup anthem reach the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10?
kalshi

Will the official Soccer Cup anthem reach the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10?

Volume:
$48,293

DNA (More Than A Game)

 - Kalshi

DNA (More Than A Game) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

DNA (More Than A Game)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$48,293
N/A
N/A
$33,083
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This event tracks whether the song "DNA (More Than A Game)" will achieve mainstream chart success by reaching the top tier of the Billboard Hot 100 during a specific summer window. The outcome depends on the song's commercial performance and radio/streaming popularity in the weeks following mid-June.

Kalshi

If DNA (More Than A Game) is Top 10 on any Billboard Hot 100 chart after June 10th and before July 26th, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader sentiment and real-money stakes, whereas analyst forecasts typically rely on historical chart performance of previous World Cup anthems, artist popularity, and radio promotion strategies. Previous official FIFA anthems have had mixed Billboard success; some reached the Top 10 while others stalled outside the chart. Market prices may diverge from analyst predictions based on factors like the artist's existing fanbase, promotional budget, and streaming platform algorithms that analysts may weight differently.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the market price reflects the probability that the official 2026 FIFA World Cup anthem will chart in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 during its release window. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to yes and no outcomes, with the price representing the collective belief of market participants. As the World Cup approaches, the anthem is announced, and chart data emerges, prices adjust to incorporate new information about artist promotion, streaming performance, and radio airplay.

The market resolves on Jul 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether the official FIFA World Cup anthem achieves a position within the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 at any point during its chart run. The outcome depends on Billboard's official weekly rankings, which are based on sales, streaming, and radio airplay data. Once the anthem's chart performance is confirmed and the resolution criteria are met, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on the final outcome.

Key catalysts include the official announcement of the 2026 World Cup anthem and artist identity, initial streaming and sales performance in the first week of release, radio station adoption and airplay frequency, celebrity endorsements or promotional campaigns, and real-time Billboard chart debuts and movements. Chart performance of comparable World Cup anthems and general music trends may also influence trader expectations. Major media coverage, social media virality, and international streaming platform algorithms could accelerate or hinder the anthem's climb toward the Top 10.