TOTAL VOLUME:
$116.8b
24H VOL:
$74,181,016
24H TRANSACTIONS:
1,362,287,844
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,154,996,029
338,616
Markets across
33,298
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,232
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
42%
VS.
Kalshi:
58%
Time left: 04d:11h:01m
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This group of markets predicts whether Tesla's (TSLA) closing price on the final trading day of the week of August 10 will be above various specified thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Tesla (TSLA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Tesla (TSLA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.
On Polymarket, odds reflect trader sentiment through dynamic pricing, often showing sharper or contrarian views compared to traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may weigh quarterly earnings, macro trends, and supply chain data differently than retail traders. This market lets you compare crowd-driven probabilities against institutional research, revealing where retail enthusiasm or caution diverges from expert outlooks.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price check happens after the week closes, and the result is settled based on widely accessible financial data sources, ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants.
Key signals include Tesla’s earnings reports, broader market trends, regulatory news, and macroeconomic data affecting tech stocks. Any surprise announcement — such as a product recall, leadership change, or shift in consumer demand — could quickly alter trader expectations. Watch for volatility around major financial events and sector-wide updates that might influence this market before it settles around Aug 31, 2026.