TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$74,181,016

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,154,996,029

338,616

Markets across

33,298

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,232

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 10 above___?

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 10 above___?

Total volume:
$12,062
Volume 24h:
$3,105
105%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$6,335
0.41%

250

all

2 markets

Opinion

N/A

Polymarket

100%

consensus

100%

+0%

spread

100-100%

(0pp)

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

No volume data

Aug 20

Aug 27

Vol.

$0.0

·

Resolves Sep 25, 2026

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 37

Description

This group of markets predicts whether NVIDIA's (NVDA) closing stock price at the end of the trading week of August 10 will be above various specified thresholds.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use NVIDIA's closing price on the final trading day of the week of August 10 as the basis for resolution, with consistent rules for ties, non-trading days, and corporate actions.Primary resolution logic: Pyth

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to "Yes" if NVIDIA's closing price on the final trading day of the week of August 10 is strictly above the listed threshold
  • The market resolves to "No" if the closing price is equal to or below the listed threshold
  • If NVIDIA does not trade during the regular session on the final trading day, the market resolves 50-50
  • Closing prices are determined by Pyth's "Close" value for the 1-minute candle at the end of regular trading hours, with fallbacks for shortened sessions or data failures
  • Corporate actions like stock splits adjust both the closing price and the threshold proportionally

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Match: If the closing price equals the threshold, the market resolves to "No"
  • No Trading: If NVIDIA does not trade on the final trading day, the market resolves 50-50
  • Corporate Actions: Stock splits and similar actions adjust both the closing price and the threshold proportionally
Timing: Resolution occurs after the close of trading on the final trading day of the week of August 10Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the NVIDIA H200 compute price per hour at 4 PM ET on September 25, 2026, as reported by Ornn (https://dashboard.ornnai.com/). If Ornn does not publish data for that exact timestamp, the most recent available price before the expiration will be used. Post-expiration revisions to the data source are disregarded. All prices are evaluated in USD and rounded to two decimal places. Each market has a unique threshold: if the reported price exceeds the specified dollar amount ($1.50, $2.00, $2.50, etc.), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the NVDA weekly price market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders price the likelihood that NVIDIA’s stock will close above a specific level by the end of the trading week. It displays total volume of $8,800 and 24-hour volume of $3,571, offering a consensus view of market sentiment. This centralized view lets participants compare positions and track shifts in expectations as new information emerges, whether from earnings reports, product launches, or broader market trends influencing the stock’s performance.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement is based on whether NVIDIA’s closing price for the week meets the specified threshold, a process that ensures transparency and reliability for all participants. Traders can track official exchange data or trusted financial news sources to anticipate the result as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Sep 25, 2026. Key corporate events such as NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings release, product announcements, or guidance updates can dramatically alter investor sentiment. Broader tech-sector movements, macroeconomic data like interest-rate decisions, and geopolitical developments affecting semiconductor demand also play a role. Traders will watch daily stock price action, options market activity, and analyst commentary for early indicators of how these factors might push the weekly close above or below the target level.