TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
138 billion
- Polymarket
138 billion - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 1, 2026
Closed: Aug 25, 10:09 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This event group tracks whether the MrBeast YouTube channel will reach specific cumulative view milestones by August 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different view count threshold, resolving to 'Yes' if the channel meets or exceeds that threshold by the deadline.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets use the same resolution criteria: total cumulative views on the MrBeast YouTube channel as displayed on YouTube at the specified deadline.Primary resolution logic: YouTube (official channel statistics)Core resolution logic:
- Check the MrBeast YouTube channel (@MrBeast) for total cumulative views at exactly 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026
- If the view count is equal to or greater than the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Data Delay: If YouTube's data is delayed or unavailable at the exact deadline, use the most recent officially published view count from YouTube before the deadline
- Threshold Rounding: Thresholds are treated as exact numbers (e.g., 138 billion views means 138,000,000,000 or more)
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily YouTube views for Morgan Wallen between August 10, 2026, and August 16, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific view-count benchmark, ranging from above 4 million to above 6 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the artist must exceed the respective threshold at any point during the specified week. View counts are verified through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting the 'Global' location filter. All markets are independent, and exceeding a higher threshold automatically satisfies all lower thresholds. Note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube charts are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through collective trader bets rather than traditional analyst reports. While expert forecasts may offer detailed projections, prediction market odds reflect real-time betting sentiment and can shift quickly with new viewer trends or platform algorithm changes. The current implied probability captures crowd wisdom, often diverging from media or industry analyst views.
Key signals include sudden spikes in MrBeast video views from viral trends, platform algorithm updates affecting recommendation visibility, or major collaborations that boost audience reach. Any announcement about new content schedules or cross-platform promotions could also shift expectations. Traders watch for these catalysts, as they often cause rapid re-pricing in this market.