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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Spanish winger Lamine Yamal will appear as a player in at least one official match for Spain during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. On Polymarket, the probability stands at 97.5%. Resolution will be determined by FIFA official records and credible reporting, with any on-field appearance in regulation, stoppage time, or extra time qualifying as a Yes outcome. Watch for Spain's squad announcement and Yamal's fitness status leading up to the tournament, with final resolution by August 2, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal Nasraoui Ebana takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Spain during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation Lamine Yamal took the field during the competition within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect decentralized trader consensus and typically differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks price Yamal's World Cup participation based on injury risk, form, and squad rotation models, often with built-in margins. Prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from participants with direct knowledge of Spanish football and Yamal's trajectory, potentially capturing nuances sportsbooks miss. The Polymarket price reflects real-time supply and demand rather than a bookmaker's fixed margin. Comparing the two reveals whether professional oddsmakers or decentralized traders view Yamal's 2026 availability as more or less certain.