TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns whether Taylor Swift's song "If I Knew It, I Knew You" will reach the top position on the Billboard Hot 100 chart during the specified week in June 2026. The outcome depends on the song's commercial performance and streaming numbers relative to other competing songs during that chart period.
If I Knew It, I Knew You by Taylor Swift is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that 'I Knew It, I Knew You' debuts at number one on the Billboard Hot 100. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing the implied probability. As new information emerges—such as pre-release streaming numbers, radio support, or competing releases—the contract price adjusts to reflect updated market expectations through the resolution date.
Key catalysts include pre-release streaming performance on Spotify, Apple Music, and YouTube, which often correlate with chart success. Radio airplay announcements and playlist placements on major platforms can significantly shift market odds. Chart performance of competing releases in the same week matters greatly, as does any viral social media momentum or celebrity endorsements. Official chart predictions from music industry publications, artist promotion intensity, and surprise collaborations or remixes could all influence trader sentiment and move prices before Jun 24, 2026.