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Will Gracie Abrams's 'Daughter From Hell ' debut at #1?
kalshi

Will Gracie Abrams's 'Daughter From Hell ' debut at #1?

Volume:
$22,705

Daughter From Hell

 - Kalshi

Daughter From Hell - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 27, 2026

Closed: Jul 26, 11:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Daughter From Hell

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100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,705
N/A
N/A
$14,633
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Gracie Abrams's upcoming album "Daughter From Hell" will claim the #1 position on the Billboard 200 chart. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that the album debuts at #1 for the week of August 01, 2026—stands at 69.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Billboard 200 rankings released for that specific chart week. Watch the album's pre-order performance and streaming momentum leading up to the Billboard 200 chart week of August 01, 2026, as these metrics typically signal debut-week chart positioning.

Kalshi

If Daughter From Hell is the #1 album on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations and differ from traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on pre-order data, streaming metrics, and historical chart patterns, prediction markets aggregate live information and trader conviction. The current market probability provides a dynamic, crowd-sourced view that often incorporates breaking news about album delays, chart competition, or promotional announcements faster than static analyst predictions. Comparing the two approaches offers insight into whether professional forecasters and market participants align on Gracie Abrams's debut prospects.

The market resolves on Jul 28, 2026, at which point the outcome will be determined based on official Billboard 200 chart data for the week in which 'Daughter From Hell' is released. Resolution hinges on whether the album achieves a number-one debut position on that chart. Traders should monitor the official release date and Billboard's chart methodology to understand the exact timing and criteria. Any delays to the album release or changes to chart eligibility could affect the resolution window.

Several catalysts could shift odds before Jul 28, 2026. A confirmed release date announcement would anchor expectations; strong early streaming numbers or pre-order data could boost confidence in a number-one debut. Conversely, delays, label changes, or surprise competition from other major releases could reduce the probability. Chart performance of Gracie Abrams's recent singles, radio airplay momentum, and social media buzz all influence trader sentiment. Major music news, award nominations, or high-profile collaborations could also move the market as participants reassess her commercial trajectory.