TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$74,181,016

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,154,996,029

338,616

Markets across

33,298

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,232

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This event group tracks whether Google's (GOOGL) closing price at the end of the week of August 10, 2024 will exceed various specified thresholds. The markets resolve based on the official closing price as reported by Pyth, with specific rules for ties, non-trading days, and corporate actions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use Pyth's published closing price for GOOGL on August 16, 2024 to determine resolution, with identical tie-breaking and corporate action adjustment rules.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolve using GOOGL's Pyth-published closing price on the final trading day of the week (August 16, 2024)
  • Yes if closing price > threshold; No if equal to or below threshold
  • Use split-adjusted prices if corporate actions occur during the period
  • If no Pyth close available, use last valid Pyth price from regular trading hours; if none, use official exchange closing price

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading Day: If GOOGL does not trade at all on August 16, the market resolves 50-50 per Polymarket rules; Opinion platform questions do not specify this scenario
  • Corporate Actions: All prices will be adjusted for stock splits or similar events using Pyth's adjusted historical data
Timing: Resolution occurs after market close on Friday, August 16, 2024 when Pyth publishes the final closing priceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.GOOGL%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Google (GOOGL) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Google (GOOGL) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On multiple platforms, the Google weekly close market aggregates predictions about where Google will close at the end of the trading week beginning August 10. This dashboard shows real-time odds, volume of $3,943, and 24-hour volume of $3,706 from all participating venues. It provides a consensus view of market expectations, letting you see how trader sentiment shifts as new information emerges. Because this market is available across different prediction markets, the dashboard is useful for comparing how various platforms price the same question.

On Polymarket, odds reflect collective trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts, which are based on fundamentals, technical analysis, and macro factors. This market’s pricing may appear more aggressive or defensive than analyst targets depending on recent momentum, earnings whispers, or tech-sector trends. Comparing the two offers a view of where crowd intuition diverges from institutional research.

This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final close for Google that week will settle the market, reflecting the actual price at the end of trading on that Friday.

Key drivers include Google’s upcoming earnings release, broader tech-sector performance, major economic data affecting tech stocks, and any surprise news such as product launches or regulatory updates. Market sentiment can also shift rapidly on algorithmic trading flows or large block trades, especially as the resolution date approaches and volatility often spikes in the final days.