TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 4:28 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rasmus "Caps" Borregaard Winther publicly appears bald between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Appearing bald means appearing with his head hair fully shaved or otherwise absent, such that the scalp is clearly visible across the entire top of the head. Very short haircuts in which hair remains clearly visible on top of the head, including buzz cuts with visible hair, will not qualify. Appearances involving wigs, bald caps, prosthetics, costumes, or digitally altered, edited, or AI-generated content will not qualify; the appearance must show the actual state of Caps' head. A qualifying appearance may occur in an official league or tournament broadcast, in content published by G2 Esports or another organization, in content published by Caps himself, or in another publicly available photograph or video whose authenticity is not credibly disputed. One qualifying appearance is sufficient; whether his hair later grows back is irrelevant. A qualifying appearance must occur within the window above and must be publicly available by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Material first made publicly available after that time will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be publicly available photographic and video evidence of Caps, including official G2 Esports and league broadcast content; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rasmus "Caps" Borregaard Winther publicly appears bald between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Appearing bald means appearing with his head hair fully shaved or otherwise absent, such that the scalp is clearly visible across the entire top of the head. Very short haircuts in which hair remains clearly visible on top of the head, including buzz cuts with visible hair, will not qualify. Appearances involving wigs, bald caps, prosthetics, costumes, or digitally altered, edited, or AI-generated content will not qualify; the appearance must show the actual state of Caps' head. A qualifying appearance may occur in an official league or tournament broadcast, in content published by G2 Esports or another organization, in content published by Caps himself, or in another publicly available photograph or video whose authenticity is not credibly disputed. One qualifying appearance is sufficient; whether his hair later grows back is irrelevant. A qualifying appearance must occur within the window above and must be publicly available by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Material first made publicly available after that time will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be publicly available photographic and video evidence of Caps, including official G2 Esports and league broadcast content; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating a wider range of information and trader sentiment. While sportsbooks may offer odds based on broader analyst forecasts, prediction markets allow participants to bet directly on outcomes, potentially creating sharper price signals that diverge from mainstream betting lines.
This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will hinge on clear, publicly available evidence regarding G2 Caps' hair status by the specified date, ensuring an objective resolution based on observable facts.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including notable public appearances, social media updates, or interviews where G2 Caps discusses or showcases his hair. Any credible indication — positive or negative — about hair loss progression, combined with trading volume spikes, may cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess the likelihood of the outcome.