TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 6:30 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Danil “donk” Kryshkovets records at least one kill with the AWP during any match at IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2, as shown on HLTV.org weapon statistics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 is currently scheduled for June 6–9, 2026. Primary resolution source: HLTV.org donk weapon stats for IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2: https://www.hltv.org/stats/players/weapon/21167/donk?event=9029 If the HLTV weapon stats for this event are not available by June 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO." If IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 is canceled after it starts, or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than June 30, 2026, this market will resolve based on HLTV.org information available at the time of cancellation/postponement.
On Limitless, this market is priced according to the collective bets placed by traders predicting whether donk will record at least one AWP elimination during Stage 2. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability implied by the order book: higher prices mean more traders expect a yes outcome, while lower prices indicate skepticism. Liquidity and trading volume on Limitless determine how quickly prices adjust to new information about donk's form, team strategy, and opponent matchups throughout Stage 2.
The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after Stage 2 concludes and official match statistics are finalized. Resolution hinges on whether donk records at least one confirmed AWP frag (elimination with an AWP weapon) across all of his Stage 2 matches. The outcome is determined by reviewing official tournament records, broadcast data, and verified in-game statistics. Once Stage 2 concludes and results are confirmed, the market settles based on whether the yes or no condition was met.
Key catalysts include donk's performance in warm-up matches and early Stage 2 rounds, which directly demonstrate his AWP usage and fragging ability. Team roster changes, coaching adjustments to weapon allocation, and opponent strength will influence trader expectations. Injury reports or lineup announcements could shift odds significantly. Real-time match results during Stage 2 will drive the most dramatic price movements as traders observe whether donk is actually getting AWP frags. Meta shifts in weapon economy and team strategy may also affect how frequently donk plays with the AWP.