TOTAL VOLUME:
$142.4b
24H VOL:
$104,871,197
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,592,701,755
469,827
Markets across
35,657
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 11d:09h:20m
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This market tracks the likelihood of the movie “Wildwood” achieving a Rotten Tomatoes score above 75% as determined by the Tomatometer. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on the Tomatometer score reported on October 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the film’s critical reception following its release, as reviews published before October 26, 2026 will heavily influence the final Tomatometer score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Wildwood is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
All markets resolve based on Wildwood’s Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as reported on October 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a specific threshold; if the score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. For example, a score of 78 would resolve as Yes for thresholds of 75 and below, but No for thresholds of 80 and above. Scores are determined the Monday after wide release. These markets are independent of any endorsement by Rotten Tomatoes, which is referenced only descriptively.
Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may rely on subjective factors or studio marketing, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Currently, the implied probability from this market is influenced by early reviews and buzz surrounding *Wildwood*. Discrepancies between market prices and analyst opinions can present opportunities for informed traders, and often prediction markets prove to be more accurate in forecasting entertainment outcomes. It’s important to consider both viewpoints when evaluating the potential success of the film.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Differences in trader demographics, market-specific liquidity, and the types of participants active on each platform all contribute to price discrepancies. For example, Polymarket currently favors Will "Wildwood" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 97.3%, while Kalshi leans toward Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score? at 99.0%. These differences can also arise from varying interpretations of available information and risk appetite among traders on each venue. Volume and spread between the platforms can also contribute to these variations.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official Rotten Tomatoes score for *Wildwood* is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The score will be sourced directly from the Rotten Tomatoes website and will represent the percentage of critics who gave the film a positive review. Traders should monitor Rotten Tomatoes for the official score release date to understand when this market will settle. The final score will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Early critic reviews, particularly those from prominent publications, will likely cause price fluctuations. Positive word-of-mouth and strong social media buzz could also drive up the perceived likelihood of a high Rotten Tomatoes score. Conversely, negative reviews or controversies surrounding the film could lower expectations. Any major marketing pushes or changes in the film's release strategy could also influence trading activity. Traders should closely monitor these factors as Oct 26, 2026 approaches to assess potential shifts in the market.