TOTAL VOLUME:

$142.4b

24H VOL:

$104,871,197

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,643,541,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,592,701,755

469,827

Markets across

35,657

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,899

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
"Wildwood" Rotten Tomatoes Score?
polymarket
kalshi

"Wildwood" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

Sep 9, 2026, 9:40 PM EST - Oct 26, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$541,920
Volume 24h:
$9,490
41%
Liquidity:
$7,142
25%
Open interest:
$189,136
2%

Above 50

 - Kalshi

Above 50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 26, 2026

Time left: 11d:09h:20m

Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 40% Illiquid market 11 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 50

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$67,551
0%
13%
$10,207
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 45

99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$136,986
0%
4%
$11,871
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 80

99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$59,049
0.51%
56%
$16,547
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 65

99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$28,481
0%
737%
$26,223
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 70

99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$8,785
1%
142%
$7,737
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 75

99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$6,844
0%
33%
$4,761
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 55

99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$76,236
0%
102%
$44,702
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 60

99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$34,143
0%
12%
$9,882
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 85

98%
1%
Yes 98¢No 3¢
1¢
N/A
$28,395
4%
55%
$11,065
1w 4d 9h
active
polymarket

85+

97%
Yes 99.5¢No 4.9¢
4.4¢
$130
$30
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 9h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
98%
Yes 98.8¢No 4¢
Avg: 2.7¢Max: 4.4¢
kalshi

Above 90

96%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$48,526
0.52%
26%
$19,658
1w 4d 9h
active
polymarket

90+

96%
Yes 98¢No 6.8¢
4.8¢
$488
$1,403
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 9h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
96%
Yes 97.5¢No 5.4¢
Avg: 2.9¢Max: 4.8¢
kalshi

Above 92

96%
1%
Yes 97¢No 4¢
1¢
N/A
$12,483
35%
42,797%
$7,260
1w 4d 9h
active
polymarket

92+

95%
Yes 98.1¢No 7.8¢
5.9¢
$90
$604
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 9h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
96%
Yes 97.6¢No 5.9¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 5.9¢
polymarket

94+

86%
1%
Yes 90¢No 18¢
8¢
$624
$435
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 94

80%
Yes 81¢No 20¢
1¢
N/A
$6,326
0.07%
7,229%
$4,971
1w 4d 9h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
80.4%
Yes 85.5¢No 19¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 8¢
kalshi

Above 95

73%
Yes 73¢No 29¢
2¢
N/A
$11,378
16%
160%
$6,076
1w 4d 9h
active
polymarket

96+

73%
1%
Yes 76¢No 31¢
7¢
$4,097
$616
21%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 96

65%
Yes 65¢No 36¢
1¢
N/A
$3,831
0.75%
6,287%
$2,123
1w 4d 9h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
66%
Yes 70.5¢No 33.5¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 7¢
kalshi

Above 97

51%
4%
Yes 54¢No 49¢
3¢
N/A
$2,463
5%
N/A
$1,990
1w 4d 9h
active
polymarket

98+

50%
1%
Yes 52¢No 53¢
5¢
$1,713
$3,087
12%
N/A
N/A
1w 4d 9h
active
kalshi

Above 98

37%
Yes 36¢No 65¢
1¢
N/A
$1,223
18%
N/A
$1,079
1w 4d 9h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
46%
Yes 44¢No 59¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 5¢
kalshi

Above 99

19%
Yes 18¢No 85¢
3¢
N/A
$3,044
252%
N/A
$2,982
1w 4d 9h
active
Total markets: 23

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of the movie “Wildwood” achieving a Rotten Tomatoes score above 75% as determined by the Tomatometer. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will be based on the Tomatometer score reported on October 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the film’s critical reception following its release, as reviews published before October 26, 2026 will heavily influence the final Tomatometer score.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms diverge in the specific thresholds offered for prediction. Kalshi provides a wider range of thresholds, while Polymarket focuses on higher scores.Hero tip: Consider the granularity of each platform when making predictions. Kalshi allows for more precise bets on lower thresholds, while Polymarket is geared towards higher confidence predictions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket markets resolve 'Yes' if the Rotten Tomatoes 'All Critics' Tomatometer score is at least equal to a specified number (85, 90, 92, 94, 96, 98) at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026. Otherwise, 'No'.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve 'Yes' if the Tomatometer score is above a specified threshold (45, 50, 55, 60, 65, 70, 75, 80, 85, 90, 92, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99) on October 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Wildwood is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on Wildwood’s Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score as reported on October 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a specific threshold; if the score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes, otherwise to No. For example, a score of 78 would resolve as Yes for thresholds of 75 and below, but No for thresholds of 80 and above. Scores are determined the Monday after wide release. These markets are independent of any endorsement by Rotten Tomatoes, which is referenced only descriptively.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market tracks the aggregated critical reception of the film *Wildwood* as expressed by its Rotten Tomatoes score. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a high probability of a positive score. Total volume for the Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score market has reached $541,920, with $9,190 traded in the last 24 hours. This demonstrates significant interest in predicting the film's performance. The aggregated data allows for a broader perspective than looking at individual platform prices alone, offering a more robust prediction.

Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts may rely on subjective factors or studio marketing, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Currently, the implied probability from this market is influenced by early reviews and buzz surrounding *Wildwood*. Discrepancies between market prices and analyst opinions can present opportunities for informed traders, and often prediction markets prove to be more accurate in forecasting entertainment outcomes. It’s important to consider both viewpoints when evaluating the potential success of the film.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Differences in trader demographics, market-specific liquidity, and the types of participants active on each platform all contribute to price discrepancies. For example, Polymarket currently favors Will "Wildwood" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? at 97.3%, while Kalshi leans toward Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score? at 99.0%. These differences can also arise from varying interpretations of available information and risk appetite among traders on each venue. Volume and spread between the platforms can also contribute to these variations.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official Rotten Tomatoes score for *Wildwood* is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The score will be sourced directly from the Rotten Tomatoes website and will represent the percentage of critics who gave the film a positive review. Traders should monitor Rotten Tomatoes for the official score release date to understand when this market will settle. The final score will be the determining factor for payouts in this market.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Early critic reviews, particularly those from prominent publications, will likely cause price fluctuations. Positive word-of-mouth and strong social media buzz could also drive up the perceived likelihood of a high Rotten Tomatoes score. Conversely, negative reviews or controversies surrounding the film could lower expectations. Any major marketing pushes or changes in the film's release strategy could also influence trading activity. Traders should closely monitor these factors as Oct 26, 2026 approaches to assess potential shifts in the market.